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Bayesian procedures designed to quantify truncation errors in perturbative calculations of quantum chromodynamics observables are adapted to expansions in effective field theory (EFT). In the Bayesian approach, such truncation errors are…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2016-05-12 R. J. Furnstahl , N. Klco , D. R. Phillips , S. Wesolowski

Effective field theories (EFTs) organize the description of complex systems into an infinite sequence of decreasing importance. Predictions are made with a finite number of terms, which induces a truncation error that is often left…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-10-16 J. A. Melendez , R. J. Furnstahl , D. R. Phillips , M. T. Pratola , S. Wesolowski

We test the BUQEYE model of correlated effective field theory (EFT) truncation errors on Reinert, Krebs, and Epelbaum's semi-local momentum-space implementation of the chiral EFT ($\chi$EFT) expansion of the nucleon-nucleon (NN) potential.…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-02-21 P. J. Millican , R. J. Furnstahl , J. A. Melendez , D. R. Phillips , M. T. Pratola

We recently developed a Bayesian framework for parameter estimation in general effective field theories. Here we present selected results from using that framework to estimate parameters with a nucleon-nucleon (NN) potential derived using…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-03-15 S. Wesolowski , R. J. Furnstahl , J. A. Melendez , D. R. Phillips

Bayesian analyses of the convergence pattern of Effective Field Theories (EFTs) enable estimation of the uncertainty induced by a truncated expansion. When an EFT that has been calibrated to data is used to make a prediction this truncation…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-02-06 Nathan L. Carter , Richard J. Furnstahl , Jordan A. Melendez , Daniel R. Phillips

We sample the posterior probability distributions of the low-energy constants (LECs) in $\Delta$-full chiral effective field theory ($\chi$EFT) up to third order. We use eigenvector continuation for fast and accurate emulation of the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-07-29 Isak Svensson , Andreas Ekström , Christian Forssén

The BUQEYE model for correlated effective field theory (EFT) truncation errors assumes a regular pattern of dimensionless coefficients extracted from order-by-order observable calculations. This enables results from lower orders to inform…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-08-26 P. J. Millican , R. J. Furnstahl , J. A. Melendez , D. R. Phillips

We demonstrate and explicate Bayesian methods for fitting the parameters that encode the impact of short-distance physics on observables in effective field theories (EFTs). We use Bayes' theorem together with the principle of maximum…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-08-14 Matthias R. Schindler , Daniel R. Phillips

The truncation errors in equations of state (EOSs) of nuclear matter derived from the chiral nucleon-nucleon ($NN$) potentials at different expansion orders are analyzed by a Bayesian model. These EOSs are expanded as functions of a…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-01-08 Jinniu Hu , Peiyu Wei , Ying Zhang

Interpreting measurements requires a physical theory, but the theory's accuracy may vary across the experimental domain. To optimize experimental design, and so to ensure that the substantial resources necessary for modern experiments are…

Predictive power in theoretical nuclear physics has been a major concern in the study of nuclear structure and reactions. The Effective Field Theory (EFT) based on chiral expansions provides a model independent hierarchy for many body…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-04-05 E. Ruiz Arriola , J. E. Amaro , R. Navarro Perez

We perform Bayesian model calibration of two-nucleon ($NN$) low-energy constants (LECs) appearing in an $NN$ interaction based on pionless effective field theory (EFT). The calibration is carried out for potentials constructed using naive…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-08-06 J. M. Bub , M. Piarulli , R. J. Furnstahl , S. Pastore , D. R. Phillips

We use Bayesian methods and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling to infer the posterior probability density function (PDF) for the low-energy constants (LECs) up to next-to-next-to-next- to-leading order (N3LO) in a chiral effective field…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-07-29 Isak Svensson , Andreas Ekström , Christian Forssén

We recently developed an Effective Field Theory (EFT) for rotational bands in odd-mass nuclei. Here we use EFT expressions to perform a Bayesian analysis of data on the rotational energy levels of $^{99}$Tc, ${}^{155,157}$Gd, ${}^{159}$Dy,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-03-07 I. K. Alnamlah , E. A. Coello Pérez , D. R. Phillips

We present procedures based on Bayesian statistics for estimating, from data, the parameters of effective field theories (EFTs). The extraction of low-energy constants (LECs) is guided by theoretical expectations in a quantifiable way…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2016-06-22 S. Wesolowski , N. Klco , R. J. Furnstahl , D. R. Phillips , A. Thapaliya

Low-resolution nuclear Hamiltonians, obtained from chiral effective field theory (EFT) and softened using renormalization group techniques, have been very successful in nuclear structure theory. The associated EFT truncation uncertainty for…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-09-30 Tom Plies , Matthias Heinz , Achim Schwenk

Are chiral theories at present describing experimental NN scattering data satisfactorily ?. Will the chiral approach offer a framework where fitting and selecting the existing np and pp data can be done without theoretical bias ?. While…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-07-11 Rodrigo Navarro Perez , Enrique Ruiz Arriola

We present a Bayesian analysis of renormalization-group invariant nucleon-nucleon interactions at leading order in chiral effective field theory ($\chi$EFT) with momentum cutoffs in the range 400--4000 MeV. We use history matching to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-12-20 Oliver Thim , Eleanor May , Andreas Ekström , Christian Forssén

We derive, using functional methods and the bias expansion, the conditional likelihood for observing a specific tracer field given an underlying matter field. This likelihood is necessary for Bayesian-inference methods. If we neglect all…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-06 Giovanni Cabass , Fabian Schmidt

The application of effective field theory (EFT) methods to nuclear systems provides the opportunity to rigorously estimate the uncertainties originating in the nuclear Hamiltonian. Yet this is just one source of uncertainty in the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2016-05-13 R. J. Furnstahl , D. R. Phillips , S. Wesolowski
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