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We build a general model for pricing defaultable claims. In addition to the usual absence of arbitrage assumption, we assume that one defaultable asset (at least) looses value when the default occurs. We prove that under this assumption, in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-04 Delia Coculescu

A new procedure is presented for the objective comparison and evaluation of default definitions. This allows the lender to find a default threshold at which the financial loss of a loan portfolio is minimised, in accordance with Basel II.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-01 Arno Botha , Conrad Beyers , Pieter de Villiers

Since the classical work of L\'evy, it is known that the local time of Brownian motion can be characterized through the limit of level crossings. While subsequent extensions of this characterization have primarily focused on Markovian or…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-17 Purba Das , Rafał Łochowski , Toyomu Matsuda , Nicolas Perkowski

The existence of asymmetric information has always been a major concern for financial institutions. Financial intermediaries such as commercial banks need to study the quality of potential borrowers in order to make their decision on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-05 Jinglun Yao , Maxime Levy-Chapira , Mamikon Margaryan

This work examines the problem of sequential detection of a change in the drift of a Brownian motion in the case of two-sided alternatives. Applications to real life situations in which two-sided changes can occur are discussed.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Olympia Hadjiliadis , H. Vincent Poor

Let $\{B_{t}\}_{t\geq0}$ be a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $\frac{2}{3}<H<1$. We prove that the approximation of the derivative of self-intersection local time, defined as \begin{align*} \alpha_{\varepsilon} &=…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Arturo Jaramillo , David Nualart

We investigate here the Central Limit Theorem of the Increment Ratio Statistic of a multifractional Brownian motion, leading to a CLT for the time varying Hurst index. The proofs are quite simple relying on Breuer-Major theorems and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-27 Pierre R. Bertrand , Mehdi Fhima , Arnaud Guillin

We consider a surplus process of drifted fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst index $H>1/2$, which appears as a functional limit of drifted compound Poisson risk models with correlated claims, and this is a kind of representation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Shota Nakamura , Yasutaka Shimizu

The spectral heat content is investigated for time-changed killed Brownian motions on C1,1 open sets, where the time change is given by either a subordinator or an inverse subordinator, with the underlying Laplace exponent being regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Kei Kobayashi , Hyunchul Park

Let $W$ be a standard Brownian motion with $W_0 = 0$ and let $b\colon[0,\infty) \to \mathbb{R}$ be a continuous function with $b(0) > 0$. In this article, we look at the classical First Passage Time (FPT) problem, i.e., the question of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Sören Christensen , Oskar Hallmann , Maike Klein

We present a Bayesian view of counterfactual risk minimization (CRM) for offline learning from logged bandit feedback. Using PAC-Bayesian analysis, we derive a new generalization bound for the truncated inverse propensity score estimator.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Ben London , Ted Sandler

We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

Our aim in this article is to provide explicit computable estimates for the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) and the $p$-th order moment of the exponential functional of a fractional Brownian motion (fBM) with drift. Using…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 José Alfredo López-Mimbela , Gerardo Pérez-Suárez

In this paper we develop structural first passage models (AT1P and SBTV) with time-varying volatility and characterized by high tractability, moving from the original work of Brigo and Tarenghi (2004, 2005) [19] [20] and Brigo and Morini…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-23 Damiano Brigo , Massimo Morini , Marco Tarenghi

It is shown that the ratio between the expected diameter of an L2-bounded martingale and the standard deviation of its last term cannot exceed sqrt(3). Moreover, a one-parameter family of stopping times on standard Brownian Motion is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-24 Lester E. Dubins , David Gilat , Isaac Meilijson

Fractional Brownian motion, H-FBM , of index with d-dimensional time is considered in a spherical domain that contains 0 at its boundary. The main result : the log-asymptotics of probability that H-FBM does not exceed a fixed positive level…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 G. Molchan

Consider p independent Brownian motions in R^d, each running up to its first exit time from an open domain B, and their intersection local time l as a measure on B. We give a sharp criterion for the finiteness of exponential moments,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wolfgang Koenig , Peter Moerters

This study deals with the problem of pricing compound options when the underlying asset follows a mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps. An analytic formula for compound options is derived under the risk neutral measure. Then, these…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Foad Shokrollahi

When the limiting compensator of a sequence of martingales is continuous, we obtain a weak convergence theorem for the martingales; the limiting process can be written as a Brownian motion evaluated at the compensator and we find sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Bruno Rémillard , Jean Vaillancourt

Credit Valuation Adjustment captures the difference in the value of derivative contracts when the counterparty default probability is taken into account. However, in the context of a network of contracts, the default probability of a direct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-29 Irena Barjašić , Stefano Battiston , Vinko Zlatić