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The plausibility of uncommon events and miracles based on testimony of such an event has been much discussed. When analyzing the probabilities involved, it has mostly been assumed that the common events can be taken as data in the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-01 V. Palonen

A fundamental question asked in modal logic is whether a given theory is consistent. But consistent with what? A typical way to address this question identifies a choice of background knowledge axioms (say, S4, D, etc.) and then shows the…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Samuel Allen Alexander , Arthur Paul Pedersen

I think we can agree that dealing with uncertainty is not easy. Probability is the main tool for dealing with uncertainty, and we know there are many probability-related puzzles and paradoxes. Here I describe a rather idiosyncratic…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-01-19 Yudi Pawitan

The process of doing Science in condition of uncertainty is illustrated with a toy experiment in which the inferential and the forecasting aspects are both present. The fundamental aspects of probabilistic reasoning, also relevant in real…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Giulio D'Agostini

Constructivist epistemology posits that all truths are knowable. One might ask to what extent constructivism is compatible with naturalized epistemology and knowledge obtained from inference-making using successful scientific theories. If…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-08-01 Patrick Fraser , Nuriya Nurgalieva , Lídia del Rio

A step-by-step presentation of the code for a small theorem prover introduces theorem-proving techniques. The programming language used is Standard ML. The prover operates on a sequent calculus formulation of first-order logic, which is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Lawrence C. Paulson

Adoption of machine learning models in healthcare requires end users' trust in the system. Models that provide additional supportive evidence for their predictions promise to facilitate adoption. We define consistent evidence to be both…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Peiqi Wang , Ruizhi Liao , Daniel Moyer , Seth Berkowitz , Steven Horng , Polina Golland

When presenting forensic evidence, such as a DNA match, experts often use the Likelihood ratio (LR) to explain the impact of evidence . The LR measures the probative value of the evidence with respect to a single hypothesis such as 'DNA…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Norman Fenton , Martin Neil

In this paper we propose a new perspective on the evolution and history of the idea of mathematical proof. Proofs will be studied at three levels: syntactical, semantical and pragmatical. Computer-assisted proofs will be give a special…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Cristian S. Calude , Elena Calude , Solomon Marcus

Our approach is basically a coherence approach, but we avoid the well-known pitfalls of coherence theories of truth. Consistency is replaced by reliability, which expresses support and attack, and, in principle, every theory (or agent,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-03 Karl Schlechta

Quantum theory (QT) has been confirmed by numerous experiments, yet we still cannot fully grasp the meaning of the theory. As a consequence, the quantum world appears to us paradoxical. Here we shed new light on QT by having it follow from…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-02-12 Alessio Benavoli , Alessandro Facchini , Marco Zaffalon

G{\"o}del's second incompleteness theorem forbids to prove, in a given theory U, the consistency of many theories-in particular, of the theory U itself-as well as it forbids to prove the normalization property for these theories, since this…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Gilles Dowek , Alexandre Miquel

We give an overview of issues surrounding computer-verified theorem proving in the standard pure-mathematical context. This is based on my talk at the PQR conference (Brussels, June 2003).

History and Overview · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Carlos T. Simpson

We survey a collective achievement of a group of researchers: the PCP Theorems. They give new definitions of the class \np, and imply that computing approximate solutions to many \np-hard problems is itself \np-hard. Techniques developed to…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2008-12-15 Sanjeev Arora

In science, the most widespread statistical quantities are perhaps $p$-values. A typical advice is to reject the null hypothesis $H_0$ if the corresponding p-value is sufficiently small (usually smaller than 0.05). Many criticisms regarding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-18 Alexandre G. Patriota

A scientific reasoning system makes decisions using objective evidence in the form of independent experimental trials, propositional axioms, and constraints on the probabilities of events. As a first step towards this goal, we propose a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 David Sher

A definition of what counts as an explanation of mathematical statement, and when one explanation is better than another, is given. Since all mathematical facts must be true in all causal models, and hence known by an agent, mathematical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Joseph Y. Halpern

Jakob Bernoulli, working in the late 17th century, identified a gap in contemporary probability theory. He cautioned that it was inadequate to specify force of proof (probability of provability) for some kinds of uncertain arguments. After…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Brian Shay , Patrick Brazil

The P versus NP problem is addressed in a context of provability and limitations on the possibility of finding sound axioms for formal theories. It is shown that if the term "constructible theory" is defined in a way which satisfies certain…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Arne Hole

Mathematicians judge proofs to possess, or lack, a variety of different qualities, including, for example, explanatory power, depth, purity, beauty and fit. Philosophers of mathematical practice have begun to investigate the nature of such…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Rebecca Lea Morris