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We study the likelihood ratio test in general mixture models where the base density is parametric, the null is a known fixed mixing distribution, and the alternative is a general mixing distribution supported on a bounded parameter space.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Yan Zhang , Stanislav Volgushev

Motivated by some cutting edge circular data such as from Smart Home technologies and roulette spins from online and casino, we construct some new rich classes of discrete distributions on the circle. We give four new general methods of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-02 Kanti V. Mardia , Karthik Sriram

We introduce the coverage correlation coefficient, a novel nonparametric measure of statistical association designed to quantifies the extent to which two random variables have a joint distribution concentrated on a singular subset with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Xuzhi Yang , Mona Azadkia , Tengyao Wang

In some contexts, mixture models can fit certain variables well at the expense of others in ways beyond the analyst's control. For example, when the data include some variables with non-trivial amounts of missing values, the mixture model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-06 Maria DeYoreo , Jerome P. Reiter , D. Sunshine Hillygus

A variation of Choquet random sup-measures is introduced. These random sup-measures are shown to arise as the scaling limits of empirical random sup-measures of a general aggregated model. Because of the aggregations, the finite-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Yizao Wang

Recent advances in center-based clustering continue to improve upon the drawbacks of Lloyd's celebrated $k$-means algorithm over $60$ years after its introduction. Various methods seek to address poor local minima, sensitivity to outliers,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Debolina Paul , Saptarshi Chakraborty , Swagatam Das , Jason Xu

Clustering is the process of finding underlying group structures in data. Although mixture model-based clustering is firmly established in the multivariate case, there is a relative paucity of work on matrix variate distributions and none…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-06 Michael P. B. Gallaugher , Paul D. McNicholas

In this paper, we are concerned with obtaining distribution-free concentration inequalities for mixture of independent Bernoulli variables that incorporate a notion of variance. Missing mass is the total probability mass associated to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Bahman Yari Saeed Khanloo

In probability theory, there is a tendency to treat one random variable with a given distribution as being just as good as any other. By and large this is fine because probability is (mostly) concerned with distributional properties of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-31 Douglas Rizzolo

A predictive distribution over a sequence of $N+1$ events is said to be "frequency mimicking" whenever the probability for the final event conditioned on the outcome of the first $N$ events equals the relative frequency of successes among…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Frank Lad , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

Say that a finite group $G$ is mixable if a product of random elements, each chosen independently from two options, can distribute uniformly on $G$. We present conditions and obstructions to mixability. We show that $2$-groups, the…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Gideon Amir , Guy Blachar , Subhajit Ghosh , Uzi Vishne

Multivariate normal mixtures provide a flexible model for high-dimensional data. They are widely used in statistical genetics, statistical finance, and other disciplines. Due to the unboundedness of the likelihood function, classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-27 Jiahua Chen , Xianming Tan

We prove a Central Limit Theorem for probability measures defined via the variation of the sum-of-digits function, in base $b\ge 2$. For $r\ge 0$ and $d \in \mathbb{Z}$, we consider $\mu^{(r)}(d)$ as the density of integers $n\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Yohan Hosten , Élise Janvresse , Thierry de la Rue

Concentration inequalities quantify the deviation of a random variable from a fixed value. In spite of numerous applications, such as opinion surveys or ecological counting procedures, few concentration results are known for the setting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Rémi Bardenet , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

Concentration of measure is a phenomenon in which a random variable that depends in a smooth way on a large number of independent random variables is essentially constant. The random variable will "concentrate" around its median or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Meg Walters

Predictive distributions need to be aggregated when probabilistic forecasts are merged, or when expert opinions expressed in terms of probability distributions are fused. We take a prediction space approach that applies to discrete, mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-09 Tilmann Gneiting , Roopesh Ranjan

One of the main concepts in quantum physics is a density matrix, which is a symmetric positive definite matrix of trace one. Finite probability distributions are a special case where the density matrix is restricted to be diagonal. Density…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-08-14 Manfred K. Warmuth , Dima Kuzmin

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

The basic principle of any version of insurance is the paradigm that exchanging risk by sharing it in a pool is beneficial for the participants. In case of independent risks with a finite mean this is the case for risk averse decision…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-08 Alfred Müller

In this paper we introduce a new parametric distribution, the Mixed Tempered Stable. It has the same structure of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures but the normality assumption leaves place to a semi-heavy tailed distribution. We show that,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-30 Edit Rroji , Lorenzo Mercuri
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