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We study parameter estimation for interacting particle systems (IPSs) consisting of $N$ weakly interacting multivariate hypoelliptic SDEs. We propose a locally Gaussian approximation of the transition dynamics, carefully designed to address…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Models incorporating uncertain inputs, such as random forces or material parameters, have been of increasing interest in PDE-constrained optimization. In this paper, we focus on the efficient numerical minimization of a convex and smooth…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Caroline Geiersbach , Winnifried Wollner

This paper investigates the Onsager-Machlup functional of stochastic lattice dynamical systems (SLDSs) driven by time-varying noise. We extend the Onsager-Machlup functional from finite-dimensional to infinite-dimensional systems, and from…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-19 Xinze Zhang , Yong Li

The horseshoe prior is known to possess many desirable properties for Bayesian estimation of sparse parameter vectors, yet its density function lacks an analytic form. As such, it is challenging to find a closed-form solution for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Shu Yu Tew , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic

This study presents a Bayesian maximum \textit{a~posteriori} (MAP) framework for dynamical system identification from time-series data. This is shown to be equivalent to a generalized Tikhonov regularization, providing a rational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Robert K. Niven , Laurent Cordier , Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Markus Abel , Markus Quade

We give a new take on the error analysis of approximations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), utilizing and developing the stochastic sewing lemma of L\^e (2020). This approach allows one to exploit regularization by noise effects…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Oleg Butkovsky , Konstantinos Dareiotis , Máté Gerencsér

This letter proposes a new method for joint state and parameter estimation in uncertain dynamical systems. We exploit the partial errors-in-variables (PEIV) principle and formulate a regression problem in the sense of weighted total least…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Peng Liu , Kailai Li , Gustaf Hendeby , Fredrik Gustafsson

We address parameter estimation in second-order stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are prevalent in physics, biology, and ecology. The second-order SDE is converted to a first-order system by introducing an auxiliary velocity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Predrag Pilipovic , Adeline Samson , Susanne Ditlevsen

We study geometric stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and their approximations on Riemannian manifolds. In particular, we introduce a simple new construction of geometric SDEs, using which with bounded curvature. In particular, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Xiang Cheng , Jingzhao Zhang , Suvrit Sra

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are the mathematical tool of choice for modelling spatiotemporal PDE-dynamics under the influence of randomness. Based on the notion of mild solution of an SPDE, we introduce a novel neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Cristopher Salvi , Maud Lemercier , Andris Gerasimovics

Inverse problems constrained by partial differential equations (PDEs) play a critical role in model development and calibration. In many applications, there are multiple uncertain parameters in a model which must be estimated. Although the…

State estimation is a fundamental problem in control and signal processing, for which the Kalman Filter provides an optimal solution under linear dynamics, Gaussian noise, and known noise covariances. However, these assumptions often fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Vasileios Saketos , Ming Xiao

Inverse problems in scientific computing often require optimization over infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces. A commonly used solver in such settings is stochastic gradient descent (SGD), where gradients are approximated using randomly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Sandra Cerrai , Qin Li , Anjali Nair , Jaeyoung Yoon

This paper is concerned with high moment and pathwise error estimates for both velocity and pressure approximations of the Euler-Maruyama scheme for time discretization and its two fully discrete mixed finite element discretizations. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Liet Vo

We present a method for approximating solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with arbitrary rates. This approximation is derived for bounded and measurable test functions. Specifically, we demonstrate that, leveraging the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Clément Rey

We apply a recently developed stochastic method to the Shastry-Sutherland model on 4x4 and 8x8 lattices. This method, which we call the Stochastic State Selection Method here, enables us to evaluate expectation values of powers of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Tomo Munehisa , Yasuko Munehisa

In this work, we derive the maximum a posteriori (MAP) symbol detector for a multiple-input multiple-output system in the presence of Wiener phase noise due to noisy local oscillators. As in single-antenna systems, the computation of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-10 Rajet Krishnan , Giulio Colavolpe , Alexandre Graell i Amat , Thomas Eriksson

It has recently been established that the numerical solution of ordinary differential equations can be posed as a nonlinear Bayesian inference problem, which can be approximately solved via Gaussian filtering and smoothing, whenever a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Filip Tronarp , Simo Sarkka , Philipp Hennig

This paper proposes a decentralized dynamic state estimation scheme for microgrids. The approach employs the voltage and current measurements in the dq0 reference frame through phasor synchronization to be able to exclude orthogonal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-09 Bang L. H. Nguyen , Tuyen V. Vu , Tuan A. Ngo

The reconstruction and inference of stochastic dynamical systems from data is a fundamental task in inverse problems and statistical learning. While surrogate modeling advances computational methods to approximate these dynamics, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nicole Tianjiao Yang