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In this paper we propose a semi-parametric Bayesian Generalized Least Squares estimator. In a generic setting where each error is a vector, the parametric Generalized Least Square estimator maintains the assumption that each error vector…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Ruochen Wu , Melvyn Weeks

We introduce a new approach for comparing the predictive accuracy of two nested models that bypasses the difficulties caused by the degeneracy of the asymptotic variance of forecast error loss differentials used in the construction of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-17 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

We develop a new sampling method to estimate eigenvector centrality on incomplete networks. Our goal is to estimate this global centrality measure having at disposal a limited amount of data. This is the case in many real-world scenarios…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Nicolò Ruggeri , Caterina De Bacco

Choosing appropriate hyperparameters plays a crucial role in the success of neural networks as hyper-parameters directly control the behavior and performance of the training algorithms. To obtain efficient tuning, Bayesian optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Jiazhao Zhang , Ying Hung , Chung-Ching Lin , Zicheng Liu

Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models are an essential tool for analyzing count data. However, designing efficient algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution of the target parameters remains a challenging task for this class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano

This paper proposes a Bayesian method for estimating the parameters of a normal distribution when only limited summary statistics (sample mean, minimum, maximum, and sample size) are available. To estimate the parameters of a normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Tomoki Matsumoto

Nested sampling is an important tool for conducting Bayesian analysis in Astronomy and other fields, both for sampling complicated posterior distributions for parameter inference, and for computing marginal likelihoods for model comparison.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-30 Justin Alsing , Will Handley

Parameter estimation is one of the most important tasks in statistics, and is key to helping people understand the distribution behind a sample of observations. Traditionally parameter estimation is done either by closed-form solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Xiaoxin Yin , David S. Yin

Accurate identification of parameters of load models is essential in power system computations, including simulation, prediction, and stability and reliability analysis. Conventional point estimation based composite load modeling approaches…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Chang Fu , Zhe Yu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Caisheng Wang , Zhiwei Wang , Jie Li

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

The Shannon entropy, and related quantities such as mutual information, can be used to quantify uncertainty and relevance. However, in practice, it can be difficult to compute these quantities for arbitrary probability distributions,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-11 Brendon J. Brewer

This paper focuses on utilizing two different Bayesian methods to deal with a variety of toy problems which occur in data analysis. In particular we implement the Variational Bayesian and Nested Sampling methods to tackle the problems of…

Computation · Statistics 2010-03-23 Alan Tua , Kristian Zarb Adami

In this paper we propose a Bayesian answer to testing problems when the hypotheses are not well separated. The idea of the method is to study the posterior distribution of a discrepancy measure between the parameter and the model we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Jean-Bernard Salomond

Metropolis Hastings nested sampling evolves a Markov chain, accepting new points along the chain according to a version of the Metropolis Hastings acceptance ratio, which has been modified to satisfy the nested sampling likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Kamran Javid

In this paper, we consider the parameter estimation problem over sensor networks in the presence of quantized data and directed communication links. We propose a two-stage algorithm aiming at achieving the centralized sample mean estimate…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-27 Shanying Zhu , Yeng Chai Soh , Lihua Xie

In Bayesian inference, an unknown measurement uncertainty is often quantified in terms of a Gamma distributed precision parameter, which is impractical when prior information on the standard deviation of the measurement uncertainty shall be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Manuel M. Eichenlaub

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

With the rise of neural models across the field of information retrieval, numerous publications have incrementally pushed the envelope of performance for a multitude of IR tasks. However, these networks often sample data in random order,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Daniel Cohen , Scott M. Jordan , W. Bruce Croft

In this paper, we have developed a new class of sampling schemes for estimating parameters of binomial and Poisson distributions. Without any information of the unknown parameters, our sampling schemes rigorously guarantee prescribed levels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-11 Xinjia Chen

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop