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Voltage instability is a major threat in power system operation. The growing presence of constant power loads significantly aggravates this issue, hence motivating the development of new analysis methods for both existence and stability of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Alexey S. Matveev , Juan E. Machado , Romeo Ortega , Johannes Schiffer , Anton Pyrkin

Modelling is an essential procedure in analyzing and controlling a given logical dynamic system (LDS). It has been proved that deterministic LDS can be modeled as a linear-like system using algebraic state space representation. However, due…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Changxi Li , Jun-e Feng , Daizhan Cheng , Xiao Zhang

Nearly-elastic model systems with one or two degrees of freedom are considered: the system is undergoing a small loss of energy in each collision with the "wall". We show that instabilities in this purely deterministic system lead to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Mark Freidlin , Wenqing Hu

Real power systems exhibit dynamics that evolve across a wide range of time scales, from very fast to very slow phenomena. Historically, incorporating these wide-ranging dynamics into a single model has been impractical. As a result, power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-29 Luis David Pabon Ospina , Martin Braun , Sushobhan Chatterjee , Sijia Geng

We address the problem of estimating the uncertainty in the solution of power grid inverse problems within the framework of Bayesian inference. We investigate two approaches, an adjoint-based method and a stochastic spectral method. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-15 Noemi Petra , Cosmin G. Petra , Zheng Zhang , Emil M. Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Dynamic stability is imperative for the operation of the electric power system. This article provides analytical results and effective stability criteria focusing on the interplay of network structures and the local dynamics of synchronous…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-06-19 Philipp C. Böttcher , Dirk Witthaut , Leonardo Rydin Gorjão

Voltage stability in modern power systems involves coupled dynamics across multiple time scales. Conventional methods based on time-scale separation or static stability margins may overlook instabilities caused by the coupling of slow and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Naoki Hashima , Hikaru Hoshino , Luis David Pabón Ospina , Eiko Furutani

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust model predictive control framework for the control of wind farms with the goal of power tracking and mechanical stress reduction of the individual wind turbines. We introduce an ARMA model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

We use a decision-theoretic framework to study the problem of forecasting discrete outcomes when the forecaster is unable to discriminate among a set of plausible forecast distributions because of partial identification or concerns about…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-18 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

The exceptional benefits of wind power as an environmentally responsible renewable energy resource have led to an increasing penetration of wind energy in today's power systems. This trend has started to reshape the paradigms of power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Alvaro Lorca , Andy Sun

Traditional centralized stability analysis struggles with scalability in large complex modern power grids. This two-part paper proposes a compositional and equilibrium-free approach to analyzing power system stability. In Part I, we prove…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-16 Peng Yang , Xiaoyu Peng , Xi Ru , Hua Geng , Feng Liu

Species subject to predation and environmental threats commonly exhibit variable periods of population boom and bust over long timescales. Understanding and predicting such behavior, especially given the inherent heterogeneity and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-03 Daniel Messenger , Greg Dwyer , Vanja Dukic

Wind farms can increase annual energy production (AEP) with advanced control algorithms by coordinating the set points of individual turbine controllers across the farm. However, it remains a significant challenge to achieve performance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Yi Guo , Mario Rotea , Tyler Summers

Extreme events represent a challenge to natural as well as man-made systems. For critical infrastructure like power grids, we need to understand their resilience against large disturbances. Recently, new measures of the resilience of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-06-22 Sabine Auer , Kirsten Kleis , Paul Schultz , Jürgen Kurths , Frank Hellmann

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

We introduce a stochastic model that describes the quasi-static dynamics of an electric transmission network under perturbations introduced by random load fluctuations, random removing of system components from service, random repair times…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Marian Anghel , Kenneth A. Werley , Adilson E. Motter

In this article we discuss several aspects of the stochastic dynamics of spin models. The paper has two independent parts. Firstly, we explore a few properties of the multi-point correlations and responses of generic systems evolving in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Guilhem Semerjian , Leticia F. Cugliandolo , Andrea Montanari

A challenge for renewable and hybrid power systems is the dynamically stable integration of Renewable Energy Sources (RES). This paper specifically investigates the influence of intermittent RES and measurement delays from power electronic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-10 Sabine Auer , Tim Kittel

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

The volatile nature of wind power generation creates challenges in achieving secure power grid operations. It is, therefore, necessary to make accurate wind power prediction and its uncertainty quantification. Wind power forecasting usually…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-29 Jingxing Wang , Abdullah Alshelahi , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal
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