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Wind integration in power grids is very difficult, essentially because of the uncertain nature of wind speed. Forecasting errors on output from wind turbines may have costly consequences. For instance, power might be bought at highest price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Luckny Zéphyr , C. Lindsay Anderson

One of the fundamental concerns in the operation of modern power systems is the assessment of their frequency stability in case of inertia-reduction induced by the large share of power electronic interfaced resources. Within this context,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Francesco Conte , Stefano Massucco , Mario Paolone , Giacomo-Piero Schiapparelli , Federico Silvestro , Yihui Zuo

Electrical infrastructures provide services at the basis of a number of application sectors, several of which are critical from the perspective of human life, environment or financials. Following the increasing trend in electricity…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Giulio Masetti

Dynamical systems, that are used to model power grids, the brain, and other physical systems, can exhibit coexisting stable states known as attractors. A powerful tool to understand such systems, as well as to better predict when they may…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-31 George Datseris , Kalel Luiz Rossi , Alexandre Wagemakers

The operation of power systems is affected by diverse technical, economic and social factors. Social behaviour determines load patterns, electricity markets regulate the generation and weather-dependent renewables introduce power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-04 Johannes Kruse , Eike Cramer , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

Decisions for a variable renewable resource generators commitment in the energy market are typically made in advance when little information is obtainable about wind availability and market prices. Much research has been published…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Razan A. H. Al-Lawati , Jose L. Crespo-Vazquez , Tasnim Ibn Faiz , Xin Fang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-06 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

We develop a generalized stability framework for stochastic discrete-time systems, where the generality pertains to the ways in which the distribution of the state energy can be characterized. We use tools from finance and operations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-23 Margaret P. Chapman , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

The development of surrogate models to study uncertainties in hydrologic systems requires significant effort in the development of sampling strategies and forward model simulations. Furthermore, in applications where prediction time is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Chen Chen , Clint Dawson , Eirik Valseth

In this manuscript, we investigate a fractional stochastic neutral differential equation with time delay, which includes both deterministic and stochastic components. Our primary objective is to rigorously prove the existence of a unique…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Javad A. Asadzade , Nazim I. Mahmudov

Robustness of linear systems with constant coefficients is considered. There exist methods and tools for analyzing the stability of systems with random or deterministic uncertainties. At the same time, there are no approaches for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Andrey Tremba

Lifecycle assessment of wind turbines is essential to improve their design and to optimum maintenance plans for preventing failures during the design life. A critical element of wind turbines is the composite blade due to uncertain cyclic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-17 Chizhi Zhang , Hua-Peng Chen

We consider a sequential decision making process, such as renewable energy trading or electrical production scheduling, whose outcome depends on the future realization of a random factor, such as a meteorological variable. We assume that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

This report proposes a novel framework for a rigorous robustness analysis of stochastic biochemical systems. The technique is based on probabilistic model checking. We adapt the general definition of robustness introduced by Kitano to the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-10-18 Lubos Brim , Milan Ceska , Sven Drazan , David Safranek

Considering increasing distributed energy resources and responsive loads in smart grid, this paper proposes a stochastic simulation approach for stability analysis of a power system having stochastic loads. The proposed approach solves a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Nan Duan , Kai Sun

The paper is published in Chaos. Please refer to the Chaos version from now on. Anna B\"uttner, Anton Plietzsch, Mehrnaz Anvari, Frank Hellmann; A framework for synthetic power system dynamics. Chaos 1 August 2023; 33 (8): 083120.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-03-19 Anna Büttner , Anton Plietzsch , Mehrnaz Anvari , Frank Hellmann

Impulsive systems are a very flexible class of systems that can be used to represent switched and sampled-data systems. We propose to extend here the previously obtained results on deterministic impulsive systems to the stochastic setting.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Corentin Briat

The growing prevalence of extreme weather events driven by climate change poses significant challenges to power system resilience. Infrastructure damage and prolonged power outages highlight the urgent need for effective grid-hardening…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-30 Sifat Chowdhury , Yihsu Chen , Yu Zhang

We introduce a framework for the control of discrete-time switched stochastic systems with uncertain distributions. In particular, we consider stochastic dynamics with additive noise whose distribution lies in an ambiguity set of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Ibon Gracia , Dimitris Boskos , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo