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Invertible processes are central to functional time series analysis, making the estimation of their defining operators a key problem. While asymptotic error bounds have been established for specific ARMA models on $L^2[0,1]$, a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Sebastian Kühnert , Gregory Rice , Alexander Aue

In this article, we quantify the functional convergence of the rescaled random walk with heavy tails to a stable process.This generalizes the Generalized Central Limit Theorem for stable random variables infinite dimension. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lorick Huang , Laurent Decreusefond , Laure Coutin

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

In this paper, we investigate the functional central limit theorem for stochastic processes associated to partial sums of additive functionals of reversible Markov chains with general spate space, under the normalization standard deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-02 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

We propose a novel adaptive importance sampling scheme for Bayesian inversion problems where the inference of the variables of interest and the power of the data noise is split. More specifically, we consider a Bayesian analysis for the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-27 L. Martino , F. Llorente , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , J. Miguez

We define and study fractional versions of the well-known Gamma subordinator $\Gamma :=\{\Gamma (t),$ $t\geq 0\},$ which are obtained by time-changing $% \Gamma $ by means of an independent stable subordinator or its inverse. Their…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Luisa Beghin

In this paper, we prove the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for a general system of slow-fast dynamics. We provide a unified approach, based on weak convergence ideas and stochastic control arguments, that cover both the averaging and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Let $v:[0,T]\times \R^d \to \R$ be the solution of the parabolic backward equation $ \partial_t v + (1/2) \sum_{i,l} [\sigma \sigma^\perp]_{il} \partial_{x_i \partial_{x_l} v + \sum_{i} b_i \partial_{x_i}v + kv =0$ with terminal condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-18 Stefan Geiss , Emmanuel Gobet

This work is concerned with the large deviation principle for a family of slow-fast systems perturbed by infinite-dimensional mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac12,1)$. We adopt the weak convergence method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Wenting Xu , Yong Xu , Xiaoyu Yang , Bin Pei

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of linear processes having as innovations mean zero, square integrable functions of stationary reversible Markov chains. In doing so we shall preserve the generality of coefficients assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Magda Peligrad

We study the limit of the joint distribution of a multidimensional Generalized Tempered Stable (GTS) process and its quadratic covariation process when the stable index tends to two. Under a proper scaling, the GTS processes converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Masaaki Fukasawa , Mikio Hirokane

We introduce fractional Brownian motion processes (fBm) as an alternative model for the turbulent index of refraction. These processes allow to reconstruct most of the index properties, but they are not differentiable. We overcome the…

Optics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dario G Perez

We propose and implement an approach to inference in linear instrumental variables models which is simultaneously robust and computationally tractable. Inference is based on self-normalization of sample moment conditions, and allows for…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-29 Eric Gautier , Christiern Rose

We establish a central limit theorem for partial sums of stationary linear random fields with dependent innovations, and an invariance principle for anisotropic fractional Brownian sheets. Our result is a generalization of the invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Yizao Wang

In the paper we consider the partial sum process $\sum_{k=1}^{[nt]}X_k^{(n)}$, where $\{X_k^{(n)}, \ k\in Z\},\ n\ge 1,$ is a series of linear processes with innovations having heavy-tailed tapered distributions with tapering parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Vygantas Paulauskas

A formula is derived for the log quantile difference of the temporal aggregation of some types of stable moving average processes, MA(q). The shape of the log quantile difference as a function of the aggregation level is examined and shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Adrian W. Barker

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we obtain sufficient conditions in terms of projective criteria under which the partial sums of a stationary process with values in ${\mathcal{H}}$ (a real and separable Hilbert space) admits an approximation, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Christophe Cuny , Florence Merlevède