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We develop a Bayesian tree ensemble model to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in censored survival data with high-dimensional covariates. Instead of imposing sparsity through the tree structure, we place a horseshoe prior directly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Tijn Jacobs , Wessel N. van Wieringen , Stéphanie L. van der Pas

We consider the problem of estimation and structure learning of high dimensional signals via a normal sequence model, where the underlying parameter vector is piecewise constant, or has a block structure. We develop a Bayesian fusion…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Sayantan Banerjee

Researchers and managers model ecological communities to infer the biotic and abiotic variables that shape species' ranges, habitat use, and co-occurrence which, in turn, are used to support management decisions and test ecological…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-01 Trevor Hefley

Prediction rule ensembles (PREs) are sparse collections of rules, offering highly interpretable regression and classification models. This paper presents the R package pre, which derives PREs through the methodology of Friedman and Popescu…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-31 Marjolein Fokkema

Graphs have been commonly used to represent complex data structures. In models dealing with graph-structured data, multivariate parameters may not only exhibit sparse patterns but have structured sparsity and smoothness in the sense that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-28 Changwoo J. Lee , Zhao Tang Luo , Huiyan Sang

We present a detailed analysis of the class of regression decision tree algorithms which employ a regulized piecewise-linear node-splitting criterion and have regularized linear models at the leaves. From a theoretic standpoint, based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Leonidas Lefakis , Oleksandr Zadorozhnyi , Gilles Blanchard

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

Random Forests are powerful ensemble learning algorithms widely used in various machine learning tasks. However, they have a tendency to overfit noisy or irrelevant features, which can result in decreased generalization performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Bastian Pfeifer

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

Tree-based models such as decision trees and random forests (RF) are a cornerstone of modern machine-learning practice. To mitigate overfitting, trees are typically regularized by a variety of techniques that modify their structure (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Abhineet Agarwal , Yan Shuo Tan , Omer Ronen , Chandan Singh , Bin Yu

Machine Learning (ML) is gaining popularity for hypothesis-free discovery of risk and protective factors in healthcare studies. ML is strong at discovering nonlinearities and interactions, but this power is compromised by a lack of reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Giorgio Spadaccini , Marjolein Fokkema , Mark A. van de Wiel

Prediction rule ensembles (PREs) are a relatively new statistical learning method, which aim to strike a balance between predictive accuracy and interpretability. Starting from a decision tree ensemble, like a boosted tree ensemble or a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-02 Marjolein Fokkema , Carolin Strobl

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

Since the advent of the horseshoe priors for regularization, global-local shrinkage methods have proved to be a fertile ground for the development of Bayesian methodology in machine learning, specifically for high-dimensional regression and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Yunfan Li , Nicholas G. Polson

A compositional tree refers to a tree structure on a set of random variables where each random variable is a node and composition occurs at each non-leaf node of the tree. As a generalization of compositional data, compositional trees…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Bingkai Wang , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo , Chin-Fu Liu , Andreia V. Faria , Michael I. Miller , Yi Zhao

In this paper, we explore the version of Hairer's regularity structures based on a greedier index set than trees, as introduced by Otto, Sauer, Smith and Weber. More precisely, we construct and stochastically estimate the renormalized model…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Pablo Linares , Felix Otto , Markus Tempelmayr , Pavlos Tsatsoulis

We derive tractable criteria for the consistency of Bayesian tree reconstruction procedures, which constitute a central class of algorithms for inferring common ancestry among DNA sequence samples in phylogenetics. Our results encompass…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Alisa Kirichenko , Luke J. Kelly , Jere Koskela

Given an ensemble of randomized regression trees, it is possible to restructure them as a collection of multilayered neural networks with particular connection weights. Following this principle, we reformulate the random forest method of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 Gérard Biau , Erwan Scornet , Johannes Welbl

Neural Networks and Decision Trees: two popular techniques for supervised learning that are seemingly disconnected in their formulation and optimization method, have recently been combined in a single construct. The connection pivots on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Kaspar Thommen

The advent of Scientific Machine Learning has heralded a transformative era in scientific discovery, driving progress across diverse domains. Central to this progress is uncovering scientific laws from experimental data through symbolic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Somjit Roy , Pritam Dey , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick
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