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Modelling extreme events and heavy-tailed phenomena is central to building reliable predictive systems in domains such as finance, climate science, and safety-critical AI. While L\'evy processes provide a natural mathematical framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yaman Kindap , Manfred Opper , Benjamin Dupuis , Umut Simsekli , Tolga Birdal

In this note we show that the locally stationary wavelet process can be decomposed into a sum of signals, each of which following a moving average process with time-varying parameters. We then show that such moving average processes are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , G. P. Nason

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Levy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alexandre Brouste , Hiroki Masuda

We study the averaging principle for a family of multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. The fast and slow components of the systems are driven by two independent stable L\'evy noises, whose stable indexes may be different. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Yanjie Zhang , Qiao Huang , Xiao Wang , Zibo Wang , Jinqiao Duan

Consider the sum $Y=B+B(H)$ of a Brownian motion $B$ and an independent fractional Brownian motion $B(H)$ with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Even though $B(H)$ is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [\textit{Bernoulli} \textbf{7} (2001)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Fabian Mies

The goal of the paper is development of an optimization method with the superlinear convergence rate for a nonsmooth convex function. For optimization an approximation is used that is similar to the Steklov integral averaging. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-03 I. M. Prudnikov

Assume a L\'evy process $X$ on the time interval $[0,1]$ that is an $L_2$-martingale and let $Y$ be either its stochastic exponential or $X$ itself. We consider Riemann-approximations of certain stochastic integrals driven by $Y$ and relate…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Christel Geiss , Stefan Geiss , Eija Laukkarinen

This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

We propose a variety of models of random walk, discrete in space and time, suitable for simulating stable random variables of arbitrary index $\alpha$ ($0< \alpha \le 2$), in the symmetric case. We show that by properly scaled transition to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rudolf Gorenflo , Gianni De Fabritiis , Francesco Mainardi

This paper is concerned with adaptive kernel estimation of the L\'evy density N(x) for bounded-variation pure-jump L\'evy processes. The sample path is observed at n discrete instants in the "high frequency" context (\Delta = \Delta(n)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Mélina Bec , Claire Lacour

For a general c\`adl\`ag L\'evy process on a separable Banach space $V$ we estimate values of $\inf_{Y\in{\cal A}_X} \mathbb{E}\left\{ \psi\left( \Vert X - Y \Vert_\infty\right) + \mathrm{TV}(Y[0,T]) \right\}$, where ${\cal A}_X$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 W. M. Bednorz , Rafał M. Łochowski , R. Martynek

This article treats long term average impulse control problems with running costs in the case that the underlying process is a L\'evy process. Under quite general conditions we characterize the value of the control problem as the value of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Sören Christensen , Tobias Sohr

This is a survey of recent results on central and non-central limit theorems for quadratic functionals of stationary processes. The underlying processes are Gaussian, linear or L\'evy-driven linear processes with memory, and are defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-02 Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Murad S. Taqqu

We propose new jump-adapted weak approximation schemes for stochastic differential equations driven by pure-jump L\'evy processes. The idea is to replace the driving L\'evy process $Z$ with a finite intensity process which has the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Peter Tankov

Since the work of Page in the 1950s, the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of stochastic processes has received a great deal of attention. In particular, a deep connection has been established between Lorden's…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Sveinn Ólafsson

We consider estimation in a sparse additive regression model with the design points on a regular lattice. We establish the minimax convergence rates over Sobolev classes and propose a Fourier-based rate-optimal estimator which is adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Felix Abramovich , Tal Lahav

This paper investigates the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of an exponentially ergodic multidimensional Markov process, which is expressed as a solution to a L\'{e}vy driven stochastic differential equation whose coefficients are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Hiroki Masuda

Continuous-time autoregressive and moving average (CARMA) models are extensively used to model high-frequency and irregularly sampled data. We study Whittle estimation for the model parameters when the process is observed at renewal times.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Frank Bosserhoff , Giacomo Francisci , Robert Stelzer

The classical notion of L\'evy process is generalized to one that takes as its values probabilities on a first order model equipped with a commutative semigroup. This is achieved by applying a convolution product on definable probabilities…

Logic · Mathematics 2009-10-27 Siu-Ah Ng
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