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In this paper, we study numerical approximations for optimal control of a class of stochastic partial differential equations with partial observations. The system state evolves in a Hilbert space, whereas observations are given in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Feng Bao , Yanzhao Cao , Hongjiang Qian

We introduce a new framework for analyzing (Quasi-}Newton type methods applied to non-smooth optimization problems. The source of randomness comes from the evaluation of the (approximation) of the Hessian. We derive, using a variant of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Titus Pinta

The filtering distribution is a time-evolving probability distribution on the state of a dynamical system, given noisy observations. We study the large-time asymptotics of this probability distribution for discrete-time, randomly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-25 D. Sanz-Alonso , A. M. Stuart

The maximum a-posteriori (MAP) perturbation framework has emerged as a useful approach for inference and learning in high dimensional complex models. By maximizing a randomly perturbed potential function, MAP perturbations generate unbiased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-17 Francesco Orabona , Tamir Hazan , Anand D. Sarwate , Tommi Jaakkola

In this paper, the Ensemble Kalman Filter is compared with a 4DVAR Data Assimilation System in chaotic dynamics. The Lorenz model is chosen for its simplicity in structure and its dynamical similarities with primitive equation models, such…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-13 Fabrício Pereira Harter , Cleber Souza Corrêa

A novel method, based on the combination of data assimilation and machine learning is introduced. The new hybrid approach is designed for a two-fold scope: (i) emulating hidden, possibly chaotic, dynamics and (ii) predicting their future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

In this paper, we consider the problem of recovering random graph signals from nonlinear measurements. We formulate the maximum a-posteriori probability (MAP) estimator, which results in a nonconvex optimization problem. Conventional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Guy Sagi , Tirza Routtenberg

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

We investigate the stabilization of unstable multidimensional partially observed single-sensor and multi-sensor linear systems driven by unbounded noise and controlled over discrete noiseless channels under fixed-rate information…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-09-21 Andrew P. Johnston , Serdar Yüksel

Despite rapid progress in live-imaging techniques, many complex biophysical and biochemical systems remain only partially observable, thus posing the challenge to identify valid theoretical models and estimate their parameters from an…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-09-21 George Stepaniants , Alasdair D. Hastewell , Dominic J. Skinner , Jan F. Totz , Jörn Dunkel

We present a theoretical analysis of Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) sequence estimation for binary symmetric hidden Markov processes. We reduce the MAP estimation to the energy minimization of an appropriately defined Ising spin model, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-06-11 Armen Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan

We propose a new recursive estimator for linear dynamical systems under Gaussian process noise and non-Gaussian measurement noise. Specifically, we develop an approximate maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator using dynamic programming and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Mohammad Hussein Yoosefian Nooshabadi , Laurent Lessard

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

We discuss the possibility of applying some standard statistical methods (the least square method, the maximum likelihood method, the method of statistical moments for estimation of parameters) to deterministically chaotic low-dimensional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

Assuring safety in discrete time stochastic hybrid systems is particularly difficult when only noisy or incomplete observations of the state are available. We first review a formulation of the probabilistic safety problem under noisy hybrid…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-07 Kendra Lesser , Meeko Oishi

Four-dimensional weak-constraint variational data assimilation estimates a state given partial noisy observations and dynamical model by minimizing a cost function that takes into account both discrepancy between the state and observations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Nazanin Abedini , Svetlana Dubinkina

We present safe control of partially-observed linear time-varying systems in the presence of unknown and unpredictable process and measurement noise. We introduce a control algorithm that minimizes dynamic regret, i.e., that minimizes the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-03 Hongyu Zhou , Vasileios Tzoumas

Partially-observed Boolean dynamical systems (POBDS) are a general class of nonlinear models with application in estimation and control of Boolean processes based on noisy and incomplete measurements. The optimal minimum mean square error…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-08 Mahdi Imani , Ulisses Braga-Neto

This paper is dedicated to the investigation of a new numerical method to approximate the optimal stopping problem for a discrete-time continuous state space Markov chain under partial observations. It is based on a two-step discretization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Christophe Nivot