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Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that receive premiums at different rates and then split the amount they pay in fixed proportions for each claim (for simplicity we assume that they are equal). We model…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-14 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

In this paper we develop a symbolic technique to obtain asymptotic expressions for ruin probabilities and discounted penalty functions in renewal insurance risk models when the premium income depends on the present surplus of the insurance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Georg Regensburger , Markus Rosenkranz

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-26 Ilya Tkachev , Alessandro Abate

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

We study the rough asymptotic behaviour of a general economic risk model in a discrete setting. Both financial and insurance risks are taken into account. Loss during the first $n$ years is modelled as a random variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-25 Jaakko Lehtomaa

This paper presents a new copula to model dependencies between insurance entities, by considering how insurance entities are affected by both macro and micro factors. The model used to build the copula assumes that the insurance losses of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Samiha Ismail , Gao Yu , Gesine Reinert , Trevor Maynard

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

An insurance company, as a risk bearer, is exposed to the likelihood of running into ruin. This is the situation where the initial surplus falls below zero. There is the need to find the required start-up capital to hedge against…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Daniel Tawiah Pabifio

This paper focuses on a discrete-time risk model in which both insurance risk and financial risk are taken into account. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the ruin probability and the tail probability of the aggregate risk amount.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhu Li

The study deals with the ruin problem when an insurance company invests its reserve in a risky asset whose the price dynamics is given by a geometric L\'evy process. Considering the ruin probability as a of the capital reserve we obtain for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-10 Viktor Antipov , Yuri Kabanov

In this paper, we generalise the results presented in the literature for the ruin probability for the insurer--reinsurer model under a pro-rata reinsurance contract. We consider claim amounts that are described by a phase-type distribution…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-15 Krzysztof Burnecki , Zbigniew Palmowski , Marek Teuerle , Aleksandra Wilkowska

Consider an insurance company exposed to a stochastic economic environment that contains two kinds of risk. The first kind is the insurance risk caused by traditional insurance claims, and the second kind is the financial risk resulting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jinzhu Li , Qihe Tang

In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

In this paper we evaluate the probability of the discrete time Parisian ruin that occurs when surplus process stays below or at zero at least for some fixed duration of time $d>0$. We identify expressions for the ruin probabilities within…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-16 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Światek

Our paper explores a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, investigating two types of correlated claims: main claims and by-claims. Settlement of the by-claims can be delayed for one time period, representing real-world…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-02 Dhiti Osatakul , Shuanming Li , Xueyuan Wu

We study a ruin problem for an annuity model where a fixed fraction of capital is invested in a risky asset. Under weak assumptions on jumps, the ruin probability solves a second-order integro-differential equation and decays as a power…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Platon Promyslov

Numerical evaluation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model is an important problem. If claim sizes are heavy-tailed, then such evaluations are challenging. To overcome this, an attractive way is to approximate the claim sizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-25 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

In this paper, we address the identification and estimation of insurance models where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes random damages and allows for several claims, while insurers…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-14 Gaurab Aryal , Isabelle Perrigne , Quang Vuong , Haiqing Xu

This paper deals with the discrete-time risk model with nonidentically distributed claims. We suppose that the claims repeat with time periods of three units, that is, claim distributions coincide at times $\{1,4,7,\ldots\}$, at times…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Andrius Grigutis , Agneška Korvel , Jonas Šiaulys