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This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Corina Constantinescu , Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Leonardo Rojas Nandayapa

In this paper, we consider the optimal dividends problem for a company whose cash reserves follow a general Levy process with certain positive jumps and arbitrary negative jumps. The objective is to find a policy which maximizes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Chuancun Yin , Kam Chuen Yuen , Ying Shen

We present a general approach to the pricing of products in finance and insurance in the multi-period setting. It is a combination of the utility indifference pricing and optimal intertemporal risk allocation. We give a characterization of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Kei Fukuda , Akihiko Inoue , Yumiharu Nakano

Due to its practical use, De Vylder's approximation of the ruin probability has been one of the most popular approximations in ruin theory and its application to insurance. Surprisingly, only heuristic and numerical evidence has supported…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Azmi Makhlouf

Important models in insurance, for example the Carm{\'e}r--Lundberg theory and the Sparre Andersen model, essentially rely on the Poisson process. The process is used to model arrival times of insurance claims. This paper extends the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko , Alois Pichler

A high order expansion of the renewal function is provided under the assumption that the inter-renewal time distribution is light tailed with finite moment generating function g on a neighborhood of 0. This expansion relies on complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Clément Dombry , Landy Rabehasaina

In this paper a class of Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by compound Poisson processes is considered. The jumps arrive with exponential waiting times and are allowed to be two-sided. The jumps are assumed to form an iid sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-01 Anders Rønn-Nielsen

Let $ X_{\lambda_1},\ldots,X_{\lambda_n}$ be a set of dependent and non-negative random variables share a survival copula and let $Y_i= I_{p_i}X_{\lambda_i}$, $i=1,\ldots,n$, where $I_{p_1},\ldots,I_{p_n}$ be independent Bernoulli random…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-18 Hossein Nadeb , Hamzeh Torabi , Ali Dolati

We address the question of the infinitude of twin and cousin prime pairs from a probabilistic perspective. Our approach partitions the set of integer numbers greater than $2$ in finite intervals of the form $[p_{n-1}^2,p_n^2)$, $p_{n-1}$…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Daniele Bufalo , Michele Bufalo , Felice Iavernaro

The claim arrival process to an insurance company is modeled by a compound Poisson process whose intensity and/or jump size distribution changes at an unobservable time with a known distribution. It is in the insurance company's interest to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

We provide an axiomatic approach to general premium principles in a probability-free setting that allows for Knightian uncertainty. Every premium principle is the sum of a risk measure, as a generalization of the expected value, and a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Max Nendel , Frank Riedel , Maren Diane Schmeck

We obtain the distribution of the maximal average in a sequence of independent identically distributed exponential random variables. Surprisingly enough, it turns out that the inverse distribution admits a simple closed form. An application…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Dimitris Cheliotis , Nickos Papadatos

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We analyze the general L\'{e}vy insurance risk process for L\'{e}vy measures in the convolution equivalence class $\mathcal{S}^{(\alpha)}$, $\alpha>0$, via a new kind of path decomposition. This yields a very general functional limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

In the setting of a L\'evy insurance risk process, we present some results regarding the Parisian ruin problem which concerns the occurrence of an excursion below zero of duration bigger than a given threshold $r$. First, we give the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Ronne Loeffen , Zbigniew Palmowski , Budhi Surya

A semilinear reaction-diffusion two-point boundary value problem, whose second-order derivative is multiplied by a small positive parameter $\eps^2$, is considered. It can have multiple solutions. An asymptotic expansion is constructed for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Natalia Kopteva , Martin Stynes

Let F be a distribution function with negative mean and regularly varying right tail. Under a mild smoothness condition we derive higher order asymptotic expansions for the tail distribution of the maxima of the random walk generated by F.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ph . Barbe , W. P. McCormick , C. Zhang

We introduce the concept of cumulative Parisian ruin, which is based on the time spent in the red by the underlying surplus process. Our main result is an explicit representation for the distribution of the occupation time, over a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Hélène Guérin , Jean-François Renaud

This paper considers nonlinear regular-singular stochastic optimal control of large insurance company. The company controls the reinsurance rate and dividend payout process to maximize the expected present value of the dividend pay-outs…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-31 Zongxia Liang , Jicheng Yao
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