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We introduce a new methodology for forecasting which we call Signal Diffusion Mapping. Our approach accommodates features of real world financial data which have been ignored historically in existing forecasting methodologies. Our method…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-24 Paul Gaskell , Frank McGroarty , Thanassis Tiropanis

The aim of this paper is to define a nonlinear least squares estimator for the spectral parameters of a spherical autoregressive process of order 1 in a parametric setting. Furthermore, we investigate on its asymptotic properties, such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Alessia Caponera , Claudio Durastanti

In this paper, we propose a novel optimization-based trajectory planner that utilizes spherical harmonics to estimate the collision-free solution space around an agent. The space is estimated using a constrained over-determined…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Steven Patrick , Efstathios Bakolas

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang

We consider the problem of nonparametric regression under shape constraints. The main examples include isotonic regression (with respect to any partial order), unimodal/convex regression, additive shape-restricted regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

Many modern spatial models express the stochastic variation component as a basis expansion with random coefficients. Low rank models, approximate spectral decompositions, multiresolution representations, stochastic partial differential…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-20 Mitchell Krock , William Kleiber , Stephen Becker

Penalized B-splines are routinely used in additive models to describe smooth changes in a response with quantitative covariates. It is typically done through the conditional mean in the exponential family using generalized additive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Philippe Lambert

In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…

We describe and analyze algorithms for shape-constrained symbolic regression, which allows the inclusion of prior knowledge about the shape of the regression function. This is relevant in many areas of engineering -- in particular whenever…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Christian Haider , Fabricio Olivetti de França , Bogdan Burlacu , Gabriel Kronberger

Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guaranties for regression; yet existing methods assume Euclidean output spaces and produce prediction regions that are poorly calibrated when responses lie on Riemannian manifolds. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi , Ali Baheri

Unmeasured, spatially-structured factors can confound associations between spatial environmental exposures and health outcomes. Adding flexible splines to a regression model is a simple approach for spatial confounding adjustment, but the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-22 Joshua P. Keller , Adam A. Szpiro

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Let Y be a response variable related with a set of explanatory variables and let f1, f2, ..., fk be a set of the parametric forms representing a set of candidate's model. Let f* be the true model among the set of k plausible models. We…

We consider nonparametric prediction with multiple covariates, in particular categorical or functional predictors, or a mixture of both. The method proposed bases on an extension of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator where a kernel function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Leonie Selk , Jan Gertheiss

In this paper, we propose a dimension reduction model for spatially dependent variables. Namely, we investigate an extension of the \emph{inverse regression} method under strong mixing condition. This method is based on estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Jean-Michel Loubes , Anne-Françoise Yao

Spatial regression is widely used for modeling the relationship between a dependent variable and explanatory covariates. Oftentimes, the linear relationships vary across space, when some covariates have location-specific effects on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-18 Xin Wang , Zhengyuan Zhu , Hao Helen Zhang

The increasing availability of large-scale global datasets has generated a demand for scalable spatial prediction methods defined on spherical domains. Classical spatial models that rely on Euclidean distance representations are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Hao-Yun Huang , Wen-Ting Wang , Ping-Hsun Chiang , Wei-Ying Wu

The paper deals with generalized functional regression. The aim is to estimate the influence of covariates on observations, drawn from an exponential distribution. The link considered has a semiparametric expression: if we are interested in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Irène Gannaz

Stochastic process models for spatiotemporal data underlying random fields find substantial utility in a range of scientific disciplines. Subsequent to predictive inference on the values of the random field (or spatial surface indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Aritra Halder , Didong Li , Sudipto Banerjee

Situations of a functional predictor paired with a scalar response are increasingly encountered in data analysis. Predictors are often appropriately modeled as square integrable smooth random functions. Imposing minimal assumptions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Peter Hall , Hans-Georg Müller , Fang Yao