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This paper proposes a stochastic approach to model temperature dynamic and study related risk measures. The dynamic of temperatures can be modelled by a mean-reverting process such as an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck one. In this study, we estimate…

We consider the problem of modelling restricted interactions between continuously-observed time series as given by a known static graph (or network) structure. For this purpose, we define a parametric multivariate Graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Valentin Courgeau , Almut E. D. Veraart

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Mohamed El Machkouri , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

In this paper, we propose and assess several stochastic parametrizations for data-driven modelling of the two-dimensional Euler equations using coarse-grid SPDEs. The framework of Stochastic Advection by Lie Transport (SALT) [Cotter et al.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-23 Sagy Ephrati , Paolo Cifani , Erwin Luesink , Bernard Geurts

Consider a periodic, mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X=\{X_t,t\geq0\}$ of the form $d X_{t}=\left(L(t)+\alpha X_{t}\right) d t+ dB^H_{t}, \quad t \geq 0$, where $L(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{p}\mu_i\phi_i (t)$ is a periodic parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Fatima-Ezzahra Farah

In this paper we propose a new method for approximating the nonstationary moment dynamics of one dimensional Markovian birth-death processes. By expanding the transition probabilities of the Markov process in terms of Poisson-Charlier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Stefan Engblom , Jamol Pender

Driven Langevin processes have appeared in a variety of fields due to the relevance of natural phenomena having both deterministic and stochastic effects. The stochastic currents and fluxes in these systems provide a convenient set of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

We consider the Graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GrOU) process observed on a non-uniform discrete time grid and introduce discretised maximum likelihood estimators with parameters specific to the whole graph or specific to each component, or node.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-12 Valentin Courgeau , Almut E. D. Veraart

We present embedding procedures for the non-Markovian stochastic Schr\"{o}dinger equations, arising from studies of quantum systems coupled with bath environments. By introducing auxiliary wave functions, it is demonstrated that the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-05-04 Xiantao Li

We consider a sequence of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, that are defined as solutions of a family of stochastic Volterra equations with kernel given by the Riesz derivative kernel, and leading coefficients given by a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Luciano Tubaro

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

In stochastic quantisation, quantum mechanical expectation values are computed as averages over the time history of a stochastic process described by a Langevin equation. Complex stochastic quantisation, though theoretically not rigorously…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2014-08-18 Amel Durakovic , Emil Cortes Andre , Anders Tranberg

Consider the following stochastic differential equation driven by multiplicative noise on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a superlinearly growing drift coefficient, \begin{align*} \mathrm{d} X_t = b (X_t) \, \mathrm{d} t + \sigma (X_t) \, \mathrm{d}…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xiang Li , Yingjun Mo , Haoran Yang

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We give a representation of the solution for a stochastic linear equation of the form $X_t=Y_t+\int_{(0,t]}X_{s-} \mathrm {d}{Z}_s$ where $Z$ is a c\'adl\'ag semimartingale and $Y$ is a c\'adl\'ag adapted process with bounded variation on…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Offer Kella , Marc Yor

We study the so-called two-time-scale stochastic approximation, a simulation-based approach for finding the roots of two coupled nonlinear operators. Our focus is to characterize its finite-time performance in a Markov setting, which often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Thinh T. Doan

We review the probabilistic properties of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes in Hilbert spaces driven by L\'{e}vy processes. The emphasis is on the different contexts in which these processes arise, such as stochastic partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-12 David Applebaum

We investigate the problem of joint statistical estimation of several parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional Brownian motion. Based on discrete-time observations of the model, we construct an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

We introduce a variant of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility model where the non Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process describes some measure of trading intensity like trading volume or number of trades instead of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel
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