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We show that the transience or recurrence of a random walk in certain random environments on an arbitrary infinite locally finite tree is determined by the branching number of the tree, which is a measure of the average number of branches…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle , Russell Lyons

Consider a Markov chain on the space of rooted real binary trees that randomly removes leaves and reinserts them on a random edge and suitably rescales the lengths of edges. This chain was introduced by David Aldous who conjectured a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-22 Soumik Pal

We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic

We compute the continuous bounded cohomology of the full automorphism groups of regular trees in all positive degrees, with coefficients arising from any irreducible continuous unitary representations. To the author's knowledge, this seems…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-08 Cunyuan Zhao

We derive tractable criteria for the consistency of Bayesian tree reconstruction procedures, which constitute a central class of algorithms for inferring common ancestry among DNA sequence samples in phylogenetics. Our results encompass…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Alisa Kirichenko , Luke J. Kelly , Jere Koskela

When identical particles on a line collide, they merge and continue as one. Exact determinantal formulas have long been available for particles conditioned never to collide, but collisions change the number of particles, and exact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Piotr Śniady

The spread of infectious disease in a human community or the proliferation of fake news on social media can be modeled as a randomly growing tree-shaped graph. The history of the random growth process is often unobserved but contains…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Harry Crane , Min Xu

We consider critical multitype Bienaym\'e trees that are either irreducible or possess a critical irreducible component with attached subcritical components. These trees are studied under two distinct conditioning frameworks: first,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Louigi Addario-Berry , Philipp Beltran , Benedikt Stufler , Paul Thévenin

We study the influence of the seed in random trees grown according to the uniform attachment model, also known as uniform random recursive trees. We show that different seeds lead to different distributions of limiting trees from a total…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-22 Sébastien Bubeck , Ronen Eldan , Elchanan Mossel , Miklós Z. Rácz

In this paper we present with algebraic trees a novel notion of (continuum) trees which generalizes countable graph-theoretic trees to (potentially) uncountable structures. For that purpose we focus on the tree structure given by the branch…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Wolfgang Löhr , Anita Winter

Bipartition cover probabilities quantify whether a collection of gene trees contains every bipartition of the underlying species tree, a condition that underlies finite-sample guarantees for summary methods such as ASTRAL. We study this…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Zachary McNulty

We derive the asymptotic behavior of the total, active and inactive branch lengths of the seed bank coalescent, when the size of the initial sample grows to infinity. Those random variables have important applications for populations…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Adrián González Casanova , Lizbeth Peñaloza , Arno Siri-Jégousse

We give a unified treatment of the limit, as the size tends to infinity, of simply generated random trees, including both the well-known result in the standard case of critical Galton--Watson trees and similar but less well-known results in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Svante Janson

We give the asymptotic distribution of the length of partial coalescent trees for Beta and related coalescents. This allows us to give the asymptotic distribution of the number of (neutral) mutations in the partial tree. This is a first…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-04 Jean-François Delmas , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Arno Siri-Jegousse

When a beneficial mutation occurs in a population, the new, favored allele may spread to the entire population. This process is known as a selective sweep. Suppose we sample $n$ individuals at the end of a selective sweep. If we focus on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jason Schweinsberg , Rick Durrett

Bayesian phylogenetics is vital for understanding evolutionary dynamics, and requires accurate and efficient approximation of posterior distributions over trees. In this work, we develop a variational Bayesian approach for ultrametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Evan Sidrow , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Lloyd T. Elliott

The inference of the evolutionary history of a collection of organisms is a problem of fundamental importance in evolutionary biology. The abundance of DNA sequence data arising from genome sequencing projects has led to significant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-07 Julia Chifman , Laura Kubatko

A major task of evolutionary biology is the reconstruction of phylogenetic trees from molecular data. The evolutionary model is given by a Markov chain on a tree. Given samples from the leaves of the Markov chain, the goal is to reconstruct…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-30 Constantinos Daskalakis , Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

Rooted binary perfect phylogenies provide a generalization of rooted binary unlabeled trees in which each leaf is assigned a positive integer value that corresponds in a biological setting to the count of the number of indistinguishable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-22 Chloe E. Shiff , Noah A. Rosenberg

We observe $n$ sequences at each of $m$ sites, and assume that they have evolved from an ancestral sequence that forms the root of a binary tree of known topology and branch lengths, but the sequence states at internal nodes are unknown.…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-28 Adam Persing , Ajay Jasra , Alexandros Beskos , David Balding , Maria De Iorio
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