Related papers: Extremes of threshold-dependent Gaussian processes

Let $\{B_\beta (x), x \in \mathbb{S}^N\}$ be a fractional Brownian motion on the $N$-dimensional unit sphere $\mathbb{S}^N$ with Hurst index $\beta$. We study the excursion probability $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{x\in T} B_\beta(x) > u \}$ and…

Let $X_t^\sharp$ be a multivariate process of the form $X_t =Y_t - Z_t$, $X_0=x$, killed at some terminal time $T$, where $Y_t$ is a Markov process having only jumps of the length smaller than $\delta$, and $Z_t$ is a compound Poisson…

The seminal papers of Pickands [1,2] paved the way for a systematic study of high exceedance probabilities of both stationary and non-stationary Gaussian processes. Yet, in the vector-valued setting, due to the lack of key tools including…

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

We investigate the tail asymptotics of the supremum of X(t)+Y(t)-ct, where X={X(t),t\geq 0} and Y={Y(t),t\geq 0} are two independent stochastic processes. We assume that the process Y has subexponential characteristics and that the process…

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of $$\mathbb{P} \{ \int\limits_0^\infty \mathbb{I}\Big(B_H(s)-c_1s>q_1u, B_H(s)-c_2s>q_2u\Big)ds>T_u\},\quad u \to \infty,$$ where $B_H$ is a fractional Brownian motion, $c_1,c_2,q_1,q_2>0,\ H \in…

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Let \(\mathbf B(t)=(B_1(t), \dots,B_d(t))^\top\), \(t\in[0,T]\), \(d\geq 2\) be a \(d\)-dimensional Brownian motion with independent components and let \(\mathbf \eta=(\eta_1,\dots,\eta_d)^\top\) be a random vector independent of \(\mathbf…

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. In this paper, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of Parisian ruin on infinite time horizon for the following risk process \begin{align}\label{Rudef}…

Let $\mathbf{B}(t)=(B_1(t), B_2(t))$, $t\geq 0$ be a two-dimensional Brownian motion with independent components and define the $\mathbf{\gamma}$-reflected process…

This paper gives a new representation of Pickands' constants, which arise in the study of extremes for a variety of Gaussian processes. Using this representation, we resolve the long-standing problem of devising a reliable algorithm for…

The paper deals with the expected maxima of continuous Gaussian processes $X = (X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ that are H\"older continuous in $L_2$-norm and/or satisfy the opposite inequality for the $L_2$-norms of their increments. Examples of such…

Given a Gaussian risk process $R(t)=u+c(t)-X(t),t\ge 0$, the cumulative Parisian ruin probability on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ with respect to $L \geq 0$ is defined as the probability that the sojourn time that the risk process $R$…

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of the maxima of suprema of dependent Gaussian processes with trend. For different scales of the time horizon we obtain different normalizing functions for the convergence of the maxima.…

Consider a random walk $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ with independent and identically distributed real-valued increments with zero mean, finite variance and moment of order $2 + \delta$ for some $\delta>0$. For any starting point $x\in \mathbb R$,…

Let $X_H(t), t\ge 0$ be a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1}$ and define a gamma-reflected process $W_\Ga(t)=X_H(t)-ct-\gammainf_{s\in[0,t]}\left(X_H(s)-cs \right)$, $t\ge0$ with $c>0,\gamma \in [0,1]$ two given…

This paper studies the supremum of a chi-square process with trend over a threshold-dependent-time horizon. Under the assumption that the chi-square process is generated from a centered self-similar Gaussian process and the trend function…

Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the…

In this brief note we give an upper bound for $P(\tau_u < T)$ with $T>0$, where $\tau_u$ is the exit time defined as $\tau_u:=\inf \{ t\geq 0 \, : \, X_t\geq u \}$ and $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which…

Let $X(t), t\in \mathcal{T}$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^2(\cdot)$ that attains its maximum at the unique point $t_0\in \mathcal{T}$, and let $M(\mathcal{T}):=\sup_{t\in \mathcal{T}} X(t)$. For…