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Recent years have seen a resurgence in interest in marketing mix models (MMMs), which are aggregate-level models of marketing effectiveness. Often these models incorporate nonlinear effects, and either implicitly or explicitly assume that…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-15 Ryan Dew , Nicolas Padilla , Anya Shchetkina

Estimating treatment effects using observation data often relies on the assumption of no unmeasured confounders. However, unmeasured confounding variables may exist in many real-world problems. It can lead to a biased estimation without…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Namhwa Lee , Shujie Ma

Regularized regression models are well studied and, under appropriate conditions, offer fast and statistically interpretable results. However, large data in many applications are heterogeneous in the sense of harboring distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Konstantinos Perrakis , Thomas Lartigue , Frank Dondelinger , Sach Mukherjee

We consider nonsynchronous sampling of parameterized stochastic regression models, which contain stochastic differential equations. Constructing a quasi-likelihood function, we prove that the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-21 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

Random-effects meta-analyses are used to combine evidence of treatment effects from multiple studies. Since treatment effects may vary across trials due to differences in study characteristics, heterogeneity in treatment effects between…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Tim Friede , Christian Röver , Simon Wandel , Beat Neuenschwander

Whole-brain network analyses remain the vanguard in neuroimaging research, coming to prominence within the last decade. Network science approaches have facilitated these analyses and allowed examining the brain as an integrated system.…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-04 Sean L. Simpson , Paul J. Laurienti

In psycholinguistics, the creation of controlled materials is crucial to ensure that research outcomes are solely attributed to the intended manipulations and not influenced by extraneous factors. To achieve this, psycholinguists typically…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Samuel Joseph Amouyal , Aya Meltzer-Asscher , Jonathan Berant

Causal inference (CI) in observational studies has received a lot of attention in healthcare, education, ad attribution, policy evaluation, etc. Confounding is a typical hazard, where the context affects both, the treatment assignment and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-17 Ankit Sharma , Garima Gupta , Ranjitha Prasad , Arnab Chatterjee , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Skew normal mixture models provide a more flexible framework than the popular normal mixtures for modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric behaviors. Due to the unboundedness of likelihood function and the divergency of shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Libin Jin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Lixing Zhu

Detection heterogeneity is inherent to ecological data, arising from factors such as varied terrain or weather conditions, inconsistent sampling effort, or heterogeneity of individuals themselves. Incorporating additional covariates into a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Daniel Turek , Claudia Wehrhahn , Olivier Gimenez

The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in the potential outcome setting is biased when there exists model misspecification or unobserved confounding. As these biases are unobservable, what model to use when remains a critical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Maximum likelihood or restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimates of the parameters in linear mixed-effects models can be determined using the lmer function in the lme4 package for R. As for most model-fitting functions in R, the model…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-24 Douglas Bates , Martin Mächler , Ben Bolker , Steve Walker

Randomized experiments or randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are gold standards for causal inference, yet cost and sample-size constraints limit power. We introduce CALM (Causal Analysis leveraging Language Models), a statistical framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Xinrui Ruan , Xinwei Ma , Yingfei Wang , Waverly Wei , Jingshen Wang

The issue of variance components testing arises naturally when building mixed-effects models, to decide which effects should be modeled as fixed or random. While tests for fixed effects are available in R for models fitted with lme4, tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Charlotte Baey , Estelle Kuhn

With the evolution of large language models (LLMs), their robustness against individual simple biases has been enhanced. However, we observe that the ensemble of multiple simple biases still exerts a significant adverse impact on LLMs.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Zhouhao Sun , Zhiyuan Kan , Xiao Ding , Li Du , Bibo Cai , Yang Zhao , Bing Qin , Ting Liu

This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

In many applications of natural language processing (NLP) it is necessary to determine the likelihood of a given word combination. For example, a speech recognizer may need to determine which of the two word combinations ``eat a peach'' and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ido Dagan , Lillian Lee , Fernando C. N. Pereira

This paper has two purposes. One is to demonstrate contextuality analysis of systems of epistemic random variables. The other is to evaluate the performance of a new, hierarchical version of the measure of (non)contextuality introduced in…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-04 Víctor H. Cervantes , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

Change-point models are frequently considered when modeling phenomena where a regime shift occurs at an unknown time. In ageing research, these models are commonly adopted to estimate of the onset of cognitive decline. Yet commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Fernando Massa , Marco Scavino , Graciela Muniz-Terrera

In this paper, we study a generalization of the two-groups model in the presence of covariates --- a problem that has recently received much attention in the statistical literature due to its applicability in multiple hypotheses testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Nabarun Deb , Sujayam Saha , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen