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We observe $n$ sequences at each of $m$ sites, and assume that they have evolved from an ancestral sequence that forms the root of a binary tree of known topology and branch lengths, but the sequence states at internal nodes are unknown.…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-28 Adam Persing , Ajay Jasra , Alexandros Beskos , David Balding , Maria De Iorio

Parallel parameterized complexity theory studies how fixed-parameter tractable (fpt) problems can be solved in parallel. Previous theoretical work focused on parallel algorithms that are very fast in principle, but did not take into account…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Max Bannach , Malte Skambath , Till Tantau

We consider the problem of pricing path-dependent options on a basket of underlying assets using simulations. As an example we develop our studies using Asian options. Asian options are derivative contracts in which the underlying variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-04 Piergiacomo Sabino

Parallel supercomputer-based Monte Carlo and stochastic simulations require pseudorandom number generators that can produce distinct pseudorandom streams across many independent processes. We propose a scalable class of parallel and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Jetanat Datephanyawat , Paul D. Beale

We present here a regress later based Monte Carlo approach that uses neural networks for pricing high-dimensional contingent claims. The choice of specific architecture of the neural networks used in the proposed algorithm provides for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-27 Vikranth Lokeshwar , Vikram Bhardawaj , Shashi Jain

The efficient evaluation of high-dimensional integrals is of importance in both theoretical and practical fields of science, such as data science, statistical physics, and machine learning. However, exact computation methods suffer from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Radislav Vaisman , Robert Salomone , Dirk P. Kroese

In the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for sequential simulations such as the neural stochastic differential equations, the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method is known to offer better theoretical computational complexity compared to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Kei Ishikawa

The roulette wheel selection is a critical process in heuristic algorithms, enabling the probabilistic choice of items based on assigned fitness values. It selects an item with a probability proportional to its fitness value. This technique…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Koji Nakano

Tree ensemble models such as random forests and boosted trees are among the most widely used and practically successful predictive models in applied machine learning and business analytics. Although such models have been used to make…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Velibor V. Mišić

With the goal to provide absolute lower bounds for the best possible running times that can be achieved by $(1+\lambda)$-type search heuristics on common benchmark problems, we recently suggested a dynamic programming approach that computes…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Kirill Antonov , Maxim Buzdalov , Arina Buzdalova , Carola Doerr

Due to the escalating growth of big data sets in recent years, new Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) parallel computing methods have been developed. These methods partition large data sets by observations into subsets. However, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Zheng Wei , Erin M. Conlon

The generalized method to have a parallel solution to a computational problem, is to find a way to use Divide & Conquer paradigm in order to have processors acting on its own data and therefore all can be scheduled in parallel. MapReduce is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-10-13 Julián Aráoz , Cristina Zoltan

Stochastic equations play an important role in computational science, due to their ability to treat a wide variety of complex statistical problems. However, current algorithms are strongly limited by their sampling variance, which scales…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Bogdan Opanchuk , Simon Kiesewetter , Peter D. Drummond

The computational complexity of simultaneous inference methods in high-dimensional linear regression models quickly increases with the number variables. This paper proposes a computationally efficient method based on the Moore-Penrose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-02 Tom Boot , Didier Nibbering

We discuss two numerical methods, based on a path integral approach described in a previous paper (I), for solving the stochastic equations underlying the financial markets: the Monte Carlo approach, and the Green function deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Marco Rosa-Clot , Stefano Taddei

Constructing unbiased estimators from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) outputs is a difficult problem that has recently received a lot of attention in the statistics and machine learning communities. However, the current unbiased MCMC…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-27 Guanyang Wang , Tianze Wang

Machine learning models, and deep neural networks in particular, are increasingly deployed in risk-sensitive domains such as healthcare, environmental forecasting, and finance, where reliable quantification of predictive uncertainty is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Asena Karolin Özdemir , Lars H. Heyen , Arvid Weyrauch , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

Options have provided a field of much study because of the complexity involved in pricing them. The Black-Scholes equations were developed to price options but they are only valid for European styled options. There is added complexity when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Michael Maio Pires , Tshilidzi Marwala

We present a new Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) algorithm to solve the stochastic orienteering problem with chance constraints, i.e., a version of the problem where travel costs are random, and one is assigned a bound on the tolerable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Stefano Carpin

The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-06 Fernando Acebes , M Pereda , David Poza , Javier Pajares , Jose M Galan