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Markov chain Monte Carlo is widely used in a variety of scientific applications to generate approximate samples from intractable distributions. A thorough understanding of the convergence and mixing properties of these Markov chains can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Kshitij Khare

This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

In this paper, we present a contraction-guided adaptive partitioning algorithm for improving interval-valued robust reachable set estimates in a nonlinear feedback loop with a neural network controller and disturbances. Based on an estimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-23 Akash Harapanahalli , Saber Jafarpour , Samuel Coogan

Probabilistic guarantees of safety and performance are important in constrained dynamical systems with stochastic uncertainty. We consider the stochastic reachability problem, which maximizes the probability that the state remains within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Abraham P. Vinod , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Reachability analysis is a formal method to guarantee safety of dynamical systems under the influence of uncertainties. A substantial bottleneck of all reachability algorithms is the necessity to adequately tune specific algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Mark Wetzlinger , Niklas Kochdumper , Stanley Bak , Matthias Althoff

One of the most fundamental problems in computer science is the reachability problem: Given a directed graph and two vertices s and t, can s reach t via a path? We revisit existing techniques and combine them with new approaches to support…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Kathrin Hanauer , Christian Schulz , Jonathan Trummer

We present a novel algorithm to solve a non-linear system of equations, whose solution can be interpreted as a tight lower bound on the vector of expected hitting times of a Markov chain whose transition probabilities are only partially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Thomas Krak

In this paper we propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by possibly unbounded additive disturbances and subject to probabilistic constraints. Constraints are treated in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We analyze the properties of degree-preserving Markov chains based on elementary edge switchings in undirected and directed graphs. We give exact yet simple formulas for the mobility of a graph (the number of possible moves) in terms of its…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2012-03-12 E. S. Roberts , A. Annibale , A. C. C. Coolen

We consider the efficient use of an approximation within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), with subsequent importance sampling (IS) correction of the Markov chain inexact output, leading to asymptotically exact inference. We detail…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-15 Jordan Franks

We examine the problem of maximizing the reachability of a given source in temporal graphs that are given as the union of k temporal paths, i.e., every given path is a sequence of edges with strictly increasing labels that denote…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Argyrios Deligkas , Michelle Döring , Eduard Eiben , George Skretas , Georg Tennigkeit

Exact approximations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a general emerging class of sampling algorithms. One of the main ideas behind exact approximations consists of replacing intractable quantities required to run standard…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-30 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Reachability analysis is a powerful tool for computing the set of states or outputs reachable for a system. While previous work has focused on systems described by state-space models, we present the first methods to compute reachable sets…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-29 Laura Lützow , Matthias Althoff

Consider a piecewise smooth expanding map of the interval possessing several invariant subintervals and the same number of ergodic absolutely continuous invariant probability measures (ACIMs). After this system is perturbed to make the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-11-25 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Paul Wright

We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-12 Thomas Krak , Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Parametric Markov chains (pMC) are used to model probabilistic systems with unknown or partially known probabilities. Although (universal) pMC verification for reachability properties is known to be coETR-complete, there have been efforts…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Kasper Engelen , Guillermo A. Pérez , Shrisha Rao

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

In this paper, we propose a scalable and highly efficient index structure for the reachability problem over graphs. We build on the well-known node interval labeling scheme where the set of vertices reachable from a particular node is…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-12-03 Stephan Seufert , Avishek Anand , Srikanta Bedathur , Gerhard Weikum

Inferring the infinitesimal rates of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is a central challenge in many scientific domains. This task is hindered by three factors: quadratic growth in the number of rates as the CTMC state space expands,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Filippo Monti , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob
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