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We present here a new extended model of the gambler's ruin problem by incorporating delays in receiving of rewards and paying of penalties. When there is a difference between two delays, an exact analysis of the ruin probability is…
Taking as a hypothesis a form of the labour theory of value, and $without$ $assuming$ $equilibrium$, we derive an equation that yields the profit-rate $\pi$ as a function of time. For a mature economy, $\pi(t)$ reduces to the product of two…
We consider a spectrally-negative Markov additive process as a model of a risk process in random environment. Following recent interest in alternative ruin concepts, we assume that ruin occurs when an independent Poissonian observer sees…
In this paper, we introduce a risk process, namely, the mixed fractional risk process (MFRP) in which the number of claims in the associated claim process are modelled using the mixed fractional Poisson process (MFPP). The covariance…
The safety region of operation of a system is the subset of allowed outputs for which no undesirable outcome would occur. Knowing if a system would ever leave its safety regions of operation is important information for the planning and…
One of the key ingredients to successfully apply Stein's method for distributional approximation are solutions to the Stein equations and their derivatives. Using Barbour's generator approach, one can solve for the solutions to the Stein…
In applied time-to-event analysis, a flexible parametric approach is to model the hazard rate as a piecewise constant function of time. However, the change points and values of the piecewise constant hazard are usually unknown and need to…
Returning a system to a desired state under a force field involves a thermodynamic cost, i.e., {\it work}. This cost fluctuates for a small-scale system from one experimental realization to another. We introduce a general framework to…
In this paper we study the optimal dividend problem for a company whose surplus process evolves as a spectrally positive Levy process. This model including the dual model of the classical risk model and the dual model with diffusion as…
We introduce a new Levy fluctuation theoretic method to analyze the cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedure in sequential change-point detection. When observations are phase-type distributed and the post-change distribution is given by exponential…
Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double…
In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…
We obtain weak rates for approximation of an integral functional of a Markov process by integral sums. An assumption on the process is formulated only in terms of its transition probability density, and, therefore, our approach is not…
In this paper, we consider a classical risk model refracted at given level. We give an explicit expression for the joint density of the ruin time and the cumulative number of claims counted up to ruin time. The proof is based on solving…
The distribution of the performed work for spin glasses with gauge symmetry is considered. With the aid of the gauge symmetry, which leads to the exact/rigorous results in spin glasses, we find a fascinating relation of the performed work…
Consider two insurance companies (or two branches of the same company) that receive premiums at different rates and then split the amount they pay in fixed proportions for each claim (for simplicity we assume that they are equal). We model…
In the literature, insurance and reinsurance pricing is typically determined by a premium principle, characterized by a risk measure that reflects the policy seller's risk attitude. Building on the work of Meyers (1980) and Chen et al.…
The Gaussian function (GF) is widely used to explain the behavior or statistical distribution of many natural phenomena as well as industrial processes in different disciplines of engineering and applied science. For example, the GF can be…
We introduce a new numerical approximation method for functionals of factor credit portfolio models based on the theory of mod-$\phi$ convergence and mod-$\phi$ approximation schemes. The method can be understood as providing correction…
The self-organized criticality in Ehrenfest's historical dog-flea model is analyzed by simulating the underlying stochastic process. The fluctuations around the thermal equilibrium in the model are treated as avalanches. We show that the…