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We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

We propose a nonparametric bootstrap procedure for two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. In this design, a weighted likelihood estimator is known to have smaller asymptotic variance than under the convenient assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Takumi Saegusa

It is common to show the confidence intervals or $p$-values of selected features, or predictor variables in regression, but they often involve selection bias. The selective inference approach solves this bias by conditioning on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Yoshikazu Terada , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

The statistical analysis of data stemming from dynamical systems, including, but not limited to, time series, routinely relies on the estimation of information theoretical quantities, most notably Shannon entropy. To this purpose, possibly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Leonardo Ricci , Alessio Perinelli , Michele Castelluzzo

A weighted regression procedure is proposed for regression type problems where the innovations are heavy-tailed. This method approximates the least absolute regression method in large samples, and the main advantage will be if the sample is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

Weighting methods are used in observational studies to adjust for covariate imbalances between treatment and control groups. Entropy balancing (EB) is an alternative to inverse probability weighting with an estimated propensity score. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 David Källberg , Ingeborg Waernbaum

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

A Bayesian treatment of deep learning allows for the computation of uncertainties associated with the predictions of deep neural networks. We show how the concept of Errors-in-Variables can be used in Bayesian deep regression to also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Jörg Martin , Clemens Elster

In our paper, we focus on robust variable selection for missing data and measurement error. Missing data and measurement errors can lead to confusing data distribution. We propose an exponential loss function with a tuning parameter to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Zhenhao Zhang , Yunquan Song

We propose a new statistical procedure able in some way to overcome the curse of dimensionality without structural assumptions on the function to estimate. It relies on a least-squares type penalized criterion and a new collection of models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Nathalie Akakpo

When analyzing weighted networks using spectral embedding, a judicious transformation of the edge weights may produce better results. To formalize this idea, we consider the asymptotic behavior of spectral embedding for different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Ian Gallagher , Andrew Jones , Anna Bertiger , Carey Priebe , Patrick Rubin-Delanchy

The manifold hypothesis suggests that high-dimensional data often lie on or near a low-dimensional manifold. Estimating the dimension of this manifold is essential for leveraging its structure, yet existing work on dimension estimation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Zelong Bi , Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

This paper is concerned with nonparametric estimation of the weighted stochastic block model. We first show that the model implies a set of multilinear restrictions on the joint distribution of edge weights of certain subgraphs involving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Koen Jochmans

We investigate the performance of entropy estimation methods, based either on block entropies or compression approaches, in the case of bidimensional sequences. We introduce a validation dataset made of images produced by a large number of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-07-07 F. N. M. de Sousa Filho , V. G. Pereira de Sá , E. Brigatti

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

This paper aims to build an estimate of an unknown density of the data with measurement error as a linear combination of functions from a dictionary. Inspired by the penalization approach, we propose the weighted Elastic-net penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Xiaowei Yang , Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei , Shouzheng Zhang

The inflated beta regression model is widely used for modeling continuous proportions with values at the boundaries. Maximum likelihood estimation for these models is well-known for its sensitivity to outliers, which can severely distort…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes de Paula Ferrari

Weighting methods in causal inference have been widely used to achieve a desirable level of covariate balancing. However, the existing weighting methods have desirable theoretical properties only when a certain model, either the propensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-24 Insung Kong , Yuha Park , Joonhyuk Jung , Kwonsang Lee , Yongdai Kim

The occurrence of atypical circular observations on the torus can badly affect parameter estimation of the multivariate von Mises distribution. This paper addresses the problem of robust fitting of the multivariate von Mises model using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Giulia Bertagnolli , Luca Greco , Claudio Agostinelli