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Shorting for hedging exposes to risk when the market dynamics is uncertain. Managing uncertainty and risk exposure is key in portfolio management practice. This paper develops a robust framework for dynamic minimum-variance hedging that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Adele Ravagnani , Mattia Chiappari , Andrea Flori , Piero Mazzarisi , Marco Patacca

While nowadays most gradient-based optimization methods focus on exploring the high-dimensional geometric features, the random error accumulated in a stochastic version of any algorithm implementation has not been stressed yet. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Tong Yang , Long Sha , Pengyu Hong

Previous literature shows that prevalent risk measures such as Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall are ineffective to curb excessive risk-taking by a tail-risk-seeking trader with S-shaped utility function in the context of portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-09 John Armstrong , Damiano Brigo , Alex S. L. Tse

While techniques have been developed for chance constrained stochastic optimal control using sample disturbance data that provide a probabilistic confidence bound for chance constraint satisfaction, far less is known about how to use sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-31 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

We consider a collection of derivatives that depend on the price of an underlying asset at expiration or maturity. The absence of arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral probability distribution on the price; in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-09 Shane Barratt , Jonathan Tuck , Stephen Boyd

We consider an investor facing a classical portfolio problem of optimal investment in a log-Brownian stock and a fixed-interest bond, but constrained to choose portfolio and consumption strategies that reduce a dynamic shortfall risk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-04 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

The problem of portfolio allocation in the context of stocks evolving in random environments, that is with volatility and returns depending on random factors, has attracted a lot of attention. The problem of maximizing a power utility at a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-29 Maxim Bichuch , Jean-Pierre Fouque

We consider an optimal investment and risk control problem for an insurer under the mean-variance (MV) criterion. By introducing a deterministic auxiliary process defined forward in time, we formulate an alternative time-consistent problem…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Yang Shen , Bin Zou

Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Masaaki Fukasawa

Many regularization schemes for high-dimensional regression have been put forward. Most require the choice of a tuning parameter, using model selection criteria or cross-validation schemes. We show that a simple non-negative or…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-07 Nicolai Meinshausen

We consider optimal allocation problems with Conditional Value-At-Risk (CVaR) constraint. We prove, under very mild assumptions, the convergence of the Sample Average Approximation method (SAA) applied to this problem, and we also exhibit a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

We study the behavior of optimal ridge regularization and optimal ridge risk for out-of-distribution prediction, where the test distribution deviates arbitrarily from the train distribution. We establish general conditions that determine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We revisit the sample average approximation (SAA) approach for non-convex stochastic programming. We show that applying the SAA approach to problems with expected value equality constraints does not necessarily result in asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

We consider a simplified model for optimizing a single-asset portfolio in the presence of transaction costs given a signal with a certain autocorrelation and cross-correlation structure. In our setup, the portfolio manager is given two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Chutian Ma , Paul Smith

The problem of portfolio optimization when stochastic factors drive returns and volatilities has been studied in previous works by the authors. In particular, they proposed asymptotic approximations for value functions and optimal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-15 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu , Ronnie Sircar

We study issues of robustness in the context of Quantitative Risk Management and Optimization. We develop a general methodology for determining whether a given risk measurement related optimization problem is robust, which we call…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-12 Paul Embrechts , Alexander Schied , Ruodu Wang

Many causal estimands, such as average treatment effects under unconfoundedness, can be written as continuous linear functionals of an unknown regression function. We study a weighting estimator that sets weights by a minimax procedure:…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

Portfolio optimization involves selecting asset weights to minimize a risk-reward objective, such as the portfolio variance in the classical minimum-variance framework. Sparse portfolio selection extends this by imposing a cardinality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-16 Sarat Moka , Matias Quiroz , Vali Asimit , Samuel Muller

We consider the minimax estimation problem of a discrete distribution with support size $k$ under locally differential privacy constraints. A privatization scheme is applied to each raw sample independently, and we need to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Min Ye , Alexander Barg

In this paper we construct a shrinkage estimator of the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio by a combination of two techniques: Tikhonov regularization and direct shrinkage of portfolio weights. More specifically, we employ a double…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-08 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsén