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We propose a distributionally robust index tracking model with the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) penalty. The model combines the idea of distributionally robust optimization for data uncertainty and the CVaR penalty to avoid large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Ruyu Wang , Yaozhong Hu , Chao Zhang

Industrial electricity consumers with flexible demand can profit by adjusting their load to short-term prices and by providing balancing services to the grid. Markets which support this kind of short-term position adjustment are the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-20 E. Finhold , C. Gärtner , R. Grindel , T. Heller , N. Leithäuser , E. Röger , F. Schirra

In this article we present a general framework for non-concave robust stochastic control problems under model uncertainty in a discrete time finite horizon setting. Our framework allows to consider a variety of different path-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

In multi-item screening, optimal selling mechanisms are challenging to characterize and implement, even with full knowledge of valuation distributions. In this paper, we aim to develop tractable, interpretable, and implementable mechanisms…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-20 Shixin Wang

We consider a non-stationary variant of a sequential stochastic optimization problem, in which the underlying cost functions may change along the horizon. We propose a measure, termed variation budget, that controls the extent of said…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 O. Besbes , Y. Gur , A. Zeevi

In this work, we study the optimal discretization error of stochastic integrals, in the context of the hedging error in a multidimensional It\^{o} model when the discrete rebalancing dates are stopping times. We investigate the convergence,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-19 Emmanuel Gobet , Nicolas Landon

A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-27 Sebastien Valeyre

Finding the hedge ratios for a portfolio and risk compression is the same mathematical problem. Traditionally, regression is used for this purpose. However, regression has its own limitations. For example, in a regression model, we can't…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Ali Shirazi , Fereshteh Sadeghi Naieni Fard

Achieving sample efficiency in online episodic reinforcement learning (RL) requires optimally balancing exploration and exploitation. When it comes to a finite-horizon episodic Markov decision process with $S$ states, $A$ actions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Gen Li , Laixi Shi , Yuxin Chen , Yuejie Chi

We characterize the squared prediction risk of ensemble estimators obtained through subagging (subsample bootstrap aggregating) regularized M-estimators and construct a consistent estimator for the risk. Specifically, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Takuya Koriyama , Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Kai Tan , Pierre C. Bellec

It is shown that the axioms for coherent risk measures imply that whenever there is an asset in a portfolio that dominates the others in a given sample (which happens with finite probability even for large samples), then this portfolio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

A formal link between regression and classification has been tenuous. Even though the margin maximization term $\|w\|$ is used in support vector regression, it has at best been justified as a regularizer. We show that a regression problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Jayadeva , Naman Dwivedi , Hari Krishnan , N. M. Anoop Krishnan

We consider the minimization of a sum of an expectation-valued coordinate-wise $L_i$-smooth nonconvex function and a nonsmooth block-separable convex regularizer. We propose an asynchronous variance-reduced algorithm, where in each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-20 Jinlong Lei , Uday V. Shanbhag

Nonparametric methods are widely applicable to statistical inference problems, since they rely on a few modeling assumptions. In this context, the fresh look advocated here permeates benefits from variable selection and compressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Gonzalo Mateos , Georgios B. Giannakis

In high-stakes machine learning applications, it is crucial to not only perform well on average, but also when restricted to difficult examples. To address this, we consider the problem of training models in a risk-averse manner. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Sebastian Curi , Kfir. Y. Levy , Stefanie Jegelka , Andreas Krause

We estimate the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio in the high-dimensional case using results from random matrix theory. This approach leads to a shrinkage-type estimator which is distribution-free and it is optimal in the sense of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

This paper studies a {\it reversible} investment problem where a social planner aims to control its capacity production in order to fit optimally the random demand of a good. Our model allows for general diffusion dynamics on the demand as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Salvatore Federico , Huyen Pham

The problem of estimation error in portfolio optimization is discussed, in the limit where the portfolio size N and the sample size T go to infinity such that their ratio is fixed. The estimation error strongly depends on the ratio N/T and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

This paper studies a robust portfolio optimization problem under the multi-factor volatility model introduced by Christoffersen et al. (2009). The optimal strategy is derived analytically under the worst-case scenario with or without…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xiaoping Lu , Guiyuan Ma , Song-Ping Zhu

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric framework for mean-variance optimization that enables inference on economically motivated shape constraints in finance, including positivity, monotonicity, and convexity. Many central hypotheses in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-26 Rohan Sen
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