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We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

A procedure and theoretical results are presented for the problem of determining a minimal robust positively invariant (RPI) set for a linear discrete-time system subject to unknown, bounded disturbances. The procedure computes, via the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Paul Trodden

The notion of rough set captures indiscernibility of elements in a set. But, in many real life situations, an information system establishes the relation between different universes. This gave the extension of rough set on single universal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 B. K. Tripathy , D. P. Acharjya

In quantum/wave systems with chaotic classical analogs, wavefunctions evolve in highly complex, yet deterministic ways. A slight perturbation of the system, though, will cause the evolution to diverge from its original behavior increasingly…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 Nicholas R. Cerruti , Steven Tomsovic

We analyze the fate of dynamical systems that consist of two kind of processes. The first type is supposed to perform a certain function by processing information at a required high accuracy, which is, however, limited to less than 100…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-10-10 Maximilian Voit , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

Identification of the parameters of stable linear dynamical systems is a well-studied problem in the literature, both in the low and high-dimensional settings. However, there are hardly any results for the unstable case, especially…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-06 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Model predictive control solves a constrained optimization problem online in order to compute an implicit closed-loop control policy. Recursive feasibility -- guaranteeing that the optimal control problem will have a solution at every time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Jacob W. Knaup , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We present an standard constraints generation algorithm to find an explicit set whose robustness is equal to the robustness of the feasible solution set of a combinatorial optimization problem with cost uncertainty. Computational experience…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-11 Alejandro Crema

Through the development of efficient algorithms, data structures and preprocessing techniques, real-world shortest path problems in street networks are now very fast to solve. But in reality, the exact travel times along each arc in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Trivikram Dokka , Marc Goerigk

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

We consider the problem of adaptive stabilization for discrete-time, multi-dimensional linear systems with bounded control input constraints and unbounded stochastic disturbances, where the parameters of the true system are unknown. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-04 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

The last decade witnessed an explosion in the availability of data for operations research applications. Motivated by this growing availability, we propose a novel schema for utilizing data to design uncertainty sets for robust optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus

Budgeted uncertainty sets have been established as a major influence on uncertainty modeling for robust optimization problems. A drawback of such sets is that the budget constraint only restricts the global amount of cost increase that can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Marc Goerigk , Stefan Lendl

This paper presents a data-driven framework for uncertainty propagation under unmeasured or statistically unmodeled (unstructured) disturbances. We consider residual disturbances, which consolidate all unstructured disturbances into a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-18 Guanru Pan , Dirk Reinhardt , Sebastien Gros , Timm Faulwasser

The problem of error growth due to the incomplete knowledge of the evolution law which rules the dynamics of a given physical system is addressed. Major interest is devoted to the analysis of error amplification in systems with many…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 G. Boffetta , A. Celani , M. Cencini , G. Lacorata , A. Vulpiani

We study the problem of robust time series analysis under the standard auto-regressive (AR) time series model in the presence of arbitrary outliers. We devise an efficient hard thresholding based algorithm which can obtain a consistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Kush Bhatia , Prateek Jain , Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Purushottam Kar

We develop a generative model-based approach to Bayesian inverse problems, such as image reconstruction from noisy and incomplete images. Our framework addresses two common challenges of Bayesian reconstructions: 1) It makes use of complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-24 Vanessa Böhm , François Lanusse , Uroš Seljak

We consider controllable linear discrete-time systems with bounded perturbations and present two methods to compute robust controlled invariant sets. The first method tolerates an arbitrarily small constraint violation to compute an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Matthias Rungger , Paulo Tabuada

The proliferation of Deep Neural Networks has resulted in machine learning systems becoming increasingly more present in various real-world applications. Consequently, there is a growing demand for highly reliable models in many domains,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Pedro Conde , Rui L. Lopes , Cristiano Premebida

Time-varying stochastic optimization problems frequently arise in machine learning practice (e.g. gradual domain shift, object tracking, strategic classification). Although most problems are solved in discrete time, the underlying process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Subha Maity , Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun