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We consider the numerical solution of scalar, nonlinear degenerate convection-diffusion problems with random diffusion coefficient and with random flux functions. Building on recent results on the existence, uniqueness and continuous…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-11-08 U. Koley , N. H. Risebro , Ch. Schwab , F. Weber

Optimization in the Bures-Wasserstein space has been gaining popularity in the machine learning community since it draws connections between variational inference and Wasserstein gradient flows. The variational inference objective function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Hoang Phuc Hau Luu , Hanlin Yu , Bernardo Williams , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

In this paper, a method to exactly sample the trajectories of inverse subordinators (in the sense of the finite-dimensional distributions), jointly with the undershooting or overshooting process, is provided. The method applies to general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Ivan Biočić , Daniel E. Cedeño-Girón , Bruno Toaldo

This work develops Monte Carlo Euler adaptive time stepping methods for the weak approximation problem of jump diffusion driven stochastic differential equations. The main result is the derivation of a new expansion for the omputational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 E. Mordecki , A. Szepessy , R. Tempone , G. E. Zouraris

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

We introduce a general framework that constructs estimators with reduced variance for random walk Metropolis and Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms. The resulting estimators require negligible computational cost and are derived in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Michalis K. Titsias

This paper addresses the complexity reduction of stochastic homogenisation of a class of random materials for a stationary diffusion equation. A cost-efficient approximation of the correctors is built using a method designed to exploit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Anthony Nouy , Christophe Binetruy

We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

Approximate inference in complex probabilistic models such as deep Gaussian processes requires the optimisation of doubly stochastic objective functions. These objectives incorporate randomness both from mini-batch subsampling of the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-26 Ayman Boustati , Sattar Vakili , James Hensman , ST John

A new methodology is presented for the construction of control variates to reduce the variance of additive functionals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers. Our control variates are definedthrough the minimization of the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Nicolas Brosse , Alain Durmus , Sean Meyn , Eric Moulines , Anand Radhakrishnan

Score-based models, trained with denoising score matching, are remarkably effective in generating high dimensional data. However, the high variance of their training objective hinders optimisation. We attempt to reduce it with a control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Paul Jeha , Will Grathwohl , Michael Riis Andersen , Carl Henrik Ek , Jes Frellsen

For rare events described in terms of Markov processes, truly unbiased estimation of the rare event probability generally requires the avoidance of numerical approximations of the Markov process. Recent work in the exact and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-08 James Hodgson , Adam M. Johansen , Murray Pollock

We introduce overdispersed black-box variational inference, a method to reduce the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator of the gradient in black-box variational inference. Instead of taking samples from the variational distribution, we use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-04 Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Michalis K. Titsias , David M. Blei

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are recent variance reduction techniques. In this work, we propose a mathematical setting which greatly relaxes the assumptions needed by for the adaptive importance sampling techniques presented by Vazquez-Abad…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-04-28 Bernard Lapeyre , Jérôme Lelong

In this paper we propose a new deterministic approximation method, called discretization approximation, for Bayesian computation. Discretization approximation is very simple to understand and to implement, It only requires calculating…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-13 Shifeng Xiong

Recently, a series of papers proposed deep learning-based approaches to sample from target distributions using controlled diffusion processes, being trained only on the unnormalized target densities without access to samples. Building on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Lorenz Richter , Julius Berner

The Multilevel Monte Carlo method is an efficient variance reduction technique. It uses a sequence of coarse approximations to reduce the computational cost in uncertainty quantification applications. The method is nowadays often considered…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Pieterjan Robbe , Dirk Nuyens , Stefan Vandewalle

We propose a multi-step Richardson-Romberg extrapolation method for the computation of expectations $E f(X_{_T})$ of a diffusion $(X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ when the weak time discretization error induced by the Euler scheme admits an expansion at…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-03 Gilles Pagès

We introduce new variants of classical regression-based algorithms for optimal stopping problems based on computation of regression coefficients by Monte Carlo approximation of the corresponding $L^2$ inner products instead of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-29 Christian Bayer , Martin Redmann , John Schoenmakers