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We prove an analog of the classical Zero-One Law for both homogeneous and nonhomogeneous Markov chains (MC). Its almost precise formulation is simple: given any event $A$ from the tail $\sigma$-algebra of MC $(Z_n)$, for large $n$, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Michael Grabchak , Isaac Sonin

Consider a Markov chain $(X_i)_{i\ge0}$ with invariant measure $\mu$ that admits the representation $X_{i+1}=\Phi(X_i,U_i)$, where $(U_i)_{i\ge0}$ are i.i.d. random variables and $\Phi$ is a measurable map. We introduce a tangent-decoupled…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Victor H. de la Peña

The transition matrix of a Markov chain $(X_k,k\geq 0)$ on a finite or infinite rooted tree is said to be almost upper-directed if, given $X_k$, the node $X_{k+1}$ is either a descendant of $X_k$ or the parent of $X_k$. It is said to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Luis Fredes , Jean-François Marckert

Questions are posed regarding the influence that the column sums of the transition probabilities of a stochastic matrix (with row sums all one) have on the stationary distribution, the mean first passage times and the Kemeny constant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We analyze quasi-stationary distributions $\{\mu^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ of a family of Markov chains $\{X^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ that are random perturbations of a bounded, continuous map $F:M\to M$, where $M$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Mathieu Faure , Sebastian J. Schreiber

Let $X_n, n \ge 0$ be a Markov chain with finite state space $M$. If $x,y \in M$ such that $x$ is transient we have $P^y(X_n = x) \to 0$ for $n \to \infty$, and under mild aperiodicity conditions this convergence is monotone in that for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Philipp König , Thomas Richthammer

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\in\N}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable space $\X$ with transition kernel $P$ and let $V:\X\r[1,+\infty)$. The Markov kernel $P$ is here considered as a linear bounded operator on the weighted-supremum space $\cB_V$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

We study convergence to equilibrium for a large class of Markov chains in random environment. The chains are sparse in the sense that in every row of the transition matrix $P$ the mass is essentially concentrated on few entries. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

Let $X_0$ be a non-constant random variable with finite variance. Given an integer $k\ge2$, define a sequence $\{X_n\}_{n=1}^\infty$ of approximately linear recursions with small perturbations $\{\Delta_n\}_{n=0}^\infty$ by $$X_{n+1} =…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Mongkhon Tuntapthai

This paper studies the queue length process in series Jackson networks with external input to the first station. We show that its Markov transition probabilities can be written as a finite sum of non-crossing probabilities, so that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-18 A. B. Dieker , J. Warren

Let T be an infinite homogenous tree of homogeneity $q+1$. Attaching to each edge the conductance $1$, the tree will became an electric network. The reversible Markov chain associated to this network is the simple random walk on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Alice Vatamanelu

Consider a Markov chain $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with an ergodic probability measure $\pi$. Let $\Psi$ a function on the state space of the chain, with $\alpha$-tails with respect to $\pi$, $\alpha\in (0,2)$. We find sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Milton Jara , Tomasz Komorowski , Stefano Olla

The problem of estimating an unknown discrete distribution from its samples is a fundamental tenet of statistical learning. Over the past decade, it attracted significant research effort and has been solved for a variety of divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky , Venkatadheeraj Pichapati

Let $X_1$, $X_2$, $...$ be a sequence of independently and identically distributed random variables with $\mathsf{E}X_1=0$, and let $S_0=0$ and $S_t=S_{t-1}+X_t$, $t=1,2,...$, be a random walk. Denote $\tau={cases}\inf\{t>1: S_t\leq0\},…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-29 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

Let $(A_i)_{i \geq 0}$ be a finite state irreducible aperiodic Markov chain and $f$ a lattice score function such that the average score is negative and positive scores are possible. Define $S_0:=0$ and $S_k:=\sum_{i=1}^k f(A_i)$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-08 Simona Grusea , Sabine Mercier

In this paper, we study the following model of hidden Markov chain: $Y_i=X_i+\epsilon_i$, $i=1,...,n+1$ with $(X_i)$ a real-valued stationary Markov chain and $(\epsilon_i)_{1\leq i\leq n+1}$ a noise having a known distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Claire Lacour

Let $G$ be a connected graph of uniformly bounded degree. A $k$ non-backtracking random walk ($k$-NBRW) $(X_n)_{n =0}^{\infty}$ on $G$ evolves according to the following rule: Given $ (X_n)_{n =0}^{s}$, at time $s+1$ the walk picks at…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Jonathan Hermon

We consider sequences $(X_t^N)_{t\geq0}$ of Markov processes in two dimensions whose fluid limit is a stable solution of an ordinary differential equation of the form $\dot{x}_t=b(x_t)$, where $b(x)={\pmatrix{-\mu 0 0 \lambda}}x+\tau(x)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Amanda G. Turner

The cutoff phenomena for Markovian dynamics have been observed and rigorously verified for a multitude of models, particularly for Glauber-type dynamics on spin systems. However, prior studies have barely considered irreversible chains. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Keunwoo Lim

We introduce a unified framework to estimate the convergence of Markov chains to equilibrium in Wasserstein distance. The framework can provide convergence bounds with rates ranging from polynomial to exponential, all derived from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Yanlin Qu , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn