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Many systems across the sciences evolve through a combination of multiplicative growth and diffusive transport. In the presence of disorder, these systems tend to form localized structures which alternate between long periods of relative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-19 Matteo Smerlak

Estimating the effects of continuous-valued interventions from observational data is a critically important task for climate science, healthcare, and economics. Recent work focuses on designing neural network architectures and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Andrew Jesson , Alyson Douglas , Peter Manshausen , Maëlys Solal , Nicolai Meinshausen , Philip Stier , Yarin Gal , Uri Shalit

Deep latent variable models learn condensed representations of data that, hopefully, reflect the inner workings of the studied phenomena. Unfortunately, these latent representations are not statistically identifiable, meaning they cannot be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Stas Syrota , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Johnny Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Søren Hauberg

Physical dynamic networks most commonly consist of interconnections of physical components that can be described by diffusive couplings. These diffusive couplings imply that the cause-effect relationships in the interconnections are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 E. M. M. , Kivits , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

In a series of two papers, we investigate the large deviations and asymptotic behavior of stochastic models of brain neural networks with random interaction coefficients. In this first paper, we take into account the spatial structure of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Tanguy Cabana , Jonathan Touboul

Langevin dynamics has become a popular tool to simulate the Boltzmann equilibrium distribution. When the repartition of the Langevin equation involves the exact realization of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise, in addition to the conventional…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-11-15 Dezhang Li , Xu Han , Yichen Chai , Cong Wang , Zifei Chen , Zhijun Zhang , Jian Liu , Jiushu Shao

How can we learn the laws underlying the dynamics of stochastic systems when their trajectories are sampled sparsely in time? Existing methods either require temporally resolved high-frequency observations, or rely on geometric arguments…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Dimitra Maoutsa

The scaling of the mobility of two-dimensional Langevin dynamics in a periodic potential as the friction vanishes is not well understood for non-separable potentials. Theoretical results are lacking, and numerical calculation of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-06-22 G. A. Pavliotis , G. Stoltz , U. Vaes

We investigate the increasingly prominent task of jointly inferring multiple networks from nodal observations. While most joint inference methods assume that observations are available at all nodes, we consider the realistic and more…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-17 Madeline Navarro , Samuel Rey , Andrei Buciulea , Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra

This report addresses state inference for hidden Markov models. These models rely on unobserved states, which often have a meaningful interpretation. This makes it necessary to develop diagnostic tools for quantification of state…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-26 Jean-Baptiste Durand , Y. Guédon

We propose a novel flexible-step model predictive control algorithm for unknown linear time-invariant discrete-time systems. The goal is to asymptotically stabilize the system without relying on a pre-collected dataset that describes its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Markus Pietschner , Christian Ebenbauer , Bahman Gharesifard , Raik Suttner

Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) ensures strong guarantees with regards to convergence in measure for sampling log-concave posterior distributions by adding noise to stochastic gradient iterates. Given the size of many practical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Bapi Chatterjee , Dan Alistarh

This paper presents and derives the interrelations between survival analysis and master equation. Survival analysis deals with modeling the transitions between succeeding states of a system in terms of hazard rates. Questions related with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

We consider the problem of predicting the spin states in a kinetic Ising model when spin trajectories are observed for only a finite fraction of sites. In a Bayesian setting, where the probabilistic model of the spin dynamics is assumed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-19 Ludovica Bachschmid Romano , Manfred Opper

Statistical inferences for high-dimensional regression models have been extensively studied for their wide applications ranging from genomics, neuroscience, to economics. However, in practice, there are often potential unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-12 Jing Ouyang , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Wild animals are commonly fitted with trackers that record their position through time, and statistical models for tracking data broadly fall into two categories: models focused on small-scale movement decisions, and models for large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-07 Théo Michelot , Ephraim M. Hanks

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Biological neural networks are notoriously hard to model due to their stochastic behavior and high dimensionality. We tackle this problem by constructing a dynamical model of both the expectations and covariances of the fractions of active…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-25 Vincent Painchaud , Patrick Desrosiers , Nicolas Doyon

Solutions of the bivariate, linear errors-in-variables estimation problem with unspecified errors are expected to be invariant under interchange and scaling of the coordinates. The appealing model of normally distributed true values and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-07 David Leonard

Latent variable models are widely used in social and behavioural sciences, including education, psychology, and political science. With the increasing availability of large and complex datasets, high-dimensional latent variable models have…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-09 Motonori Oka , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki