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We propose a scalable, approximate inference hypernetwork framework for a general model of history-dependent processes. The flexible data model is based on a neural ordinary differential equation (NODE) representing the evolution of…

Dynamic relational processes, such as e-mail exchanges, bank loans and scientific citations, are important examples of dynamic networks, in which the relational events consistute time-stamped edges. There are contexts where the network…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-24 Igor Artico , Ernst C. Wit

We formulate a scaling theory for the long-time diffusive motion in a space occluded by a high density of moving obstacles in dimensions 1, 2 and 3. Our tracers diffuse anomalously over many decades in time, before reaching a diffusive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-22 H. Bendekgey , G. Huber , D. Yllanes

The thermodynamic properties of time-delayed dynamics remain largely unexplored, especially for systems that exhibit asymptotically non-stationary behavior. Here, we investigate heat dissipation in two classes of marginally stable linear…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-06 Xin Wang

Directional-change Intrinsic Time analysis has long revealed scaling laws in market microstructure, but the origin of their stability remains elusive. This article presents evidence that Intrinsic Time can be modeled as a memoryless…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Thomas Houweling

We study the critical behavior of the nonequilibrium dynamics and of the steady states emerging from the competition between coherent and dissipative dynamics close to quantum phase transitions. The latter is induced by the coupling of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-26 Davide Rossini , Ettore Vicari

Scale invariance is a central organizing principle in physics, underlying phenomena that range from critical behaviour in statistical mechanics to transport and chaos in nonlinear dynamical systems. Here we present a unified and physically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-23 Edson D. Leonel , Diego F. M. Oliveira

Neural populations exhibit latent dynamical structures that drive time-evolving spiking activities, motivating the search for models that capture both intrinsic network dynamics and external unobserved influences. In this work, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Yue Song , T. Anderson Keller , Yisong Yue , Pietro Perona , Max Welling

In all local low-dimensional models, scaling at critical points deviates from mean field behavior -- with one possible exception. This exceptional model with ``ordinary" behavior is an inherently non-equilibrium model studied some time ago…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-16 Peter Grassberger

We analyze the macroscopic behavior of multi-populations randomly connected neural networks with interaction delays. Similar to cases occurring in spin glasses, we show that the sequences of empirical measures satisfy a large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Tanguy Cabana , Jonathan Touboul

Modeling the evolution of system with time-series data is a challenging and critical task in a wide range of fields, especially when the time-series data is regularly sampled and partially observable. Some methods have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Mengbang Zou , Weisi Guo

Stochastic iterative algorithms, including stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD), are widely utilized for optimization and sampling in large-scale and high-dimensional problems in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Xiaoyu Wang , Mikolaj J. Kasprzak , Jeffrey Negrea , Solesne Bourguin , Jonathan H. Huggins

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

In this paper, we consider the stability analysis of large-scale distributed networked control systems with random communication delays between linearly interconnected subsystems. The stability analysis is performed in the Markov jump…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Raktim Bhattacharya

In this work we consider the unbiased estimation of expectations w.r.t.~probability measures that have non-negative Lebesgue density, and which are known point-wise up-to a normalizing constant. We focus upon developing an unbiased method…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-17 Hamza Ruzayqat , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

Coupled oscillators are prevalent throughout the physical world. Dynamical system formulations of weakly coupled oscillator systems have proven effective at capturing the properties of real-world systems. However, these formulations usually…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-06-23 Charles F. Cadieu , Kilian Koepsell

The problem of estimating an unknown discrete distribution from its samples is a fundamental tenet of statistical learning. Over the past decade, it attracted significant research effort and has been solved for a variety of divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky , Venkatadheeraj Pichapati

Adaptive Langevin dynamics is a method for sampling the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution at prescribed temperature in cases where the potential gradient is subject to stochastic perturbation of unknown magnitude. The method replaces the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Benedict Leimkuhler , Matthias Sachs , Gabriel Stoltz

Overdamped Langevin dynamics are reversible stochastic differential equations which are commonly used to sample probability measures in high-dimensional spaces, such as the ones appearing in computational statistical physics and Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Tony Lelièvre , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Geneviève Robin , Régis Santet , Gabriel Stoltz
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