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This article addresses the issue of estimating observation parameters (response and error parameters) in inverse problems. The focus is on cases where regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework and the prior is modeled by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Jean-François Giovannelli

We investigate three different methods for systematically approximating the diffusion coefficient of a deterministic random walk on the line which contains dynamical correlations that change irregularly under parameter variation. Capturing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 Georgie Knight , Rainer Klages

We present a Bayesian methodology for infinite as well as finite dimensional parameter identification for partial differential equation models. The Bayesian framework provides a rigorous mathematical framework for incorporating prior…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-17 Eduard Campillo-Funollet , Chandrasekhar Venkataraman , Anotida Madzvamuse

We provide a new perspective on the study of parameterized optimization problems. Our approach combines methods for post-optimal sensitivity analysis and ordinary differential equations to quantify the uncertainty in the minimizer due to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Alen Alexanderian , Joseph Hart , Mason Stevens

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

For most statistical postprocessing schemes used to correct weather forecasts, changes to the forecast model induce a considerable reforecasting effort. We present a new approach based on response theory to cope with slight model changes.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Jonathan Demaeyer , Stéphane Vannitsem

The analysis of diffusion processes in real-world propagation scenarios often involves estimating variables that are not directly observed. These hidden variables include parental relationships, the strengths of connections between nodes,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Shohreh Shaghaghian , Mark Coates

We propose a simple method to estimate the parameters of a continuously measured quantum system, by fitting correlation functions of the measured signal. We demonstrate the approach in simulation, both on toy examples and on a recent…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-17 Pierre Guilmin , Pierre Rouchon , Antoine Tilloy

To describe the nonequilibrium states of a system we introduce a new thermodynamic parameter - the lifetime of a system. The statistical distributions which can be obtained out of the mesoscopic description characterizing the behaviour of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Ryazanov

In this paper we provide a physical interpretation of It\^o-process resulting in thermal equilibrium distribution of a Brownian particle experiencing coordinate dependent diffusion. Since the local quantities like diffusivity would go…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-08 A. Bhattacharyay

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

The Van Allen radiation belts in the magnetosphere have been extensively studied using models based on radial diffusion theory, which is based on a quasi-linear approach with prescribed inner and outer boundary conditions. The 1-d diffusion…

We introduce a simple method to estimate the system parameters in continuous dynamical systems from the time series. In this method, we construct a modified system by introducing some constants (controlling constants) into the given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

A variety of researchers have successfully obtained the parameters of low dimensional diffusion models using the data that comes out of atomistic simulations. This naturally raises a variety of questions about efficient estimation,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-06 Christopher P. Calderon

The information diffusion prediction on social networks aims to predict future recipients of a message, with practical applications in marketing and social media. While different prediction models all claim to perform well, general…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Wenjin Xie , Xiaomeng Wang , Radosław Michalski , Tao Jia

Penalized estimation methods for diffusion processes and dependent data have recently gained significant attention due to their effectiveness in handling high-dimensional stochastic systems. In this work, we introduce an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Alessandro De Gregorio , Dario Frisardi , Francesco Iafrate , Stefano Iacus

We address the problem of estimating unknown model parameters and state variables in stochastic reaction processes when only sparse and noisy measurements are available. Using an asymptotic system size expansion for the backward equation we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-07-02 Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

Fluorescent and luminescent gene reporters allow us to dynamically quantify changes in molecular species concentration over time on the single cell level. The mathematical modeling of their interaction through multivariate dynamical models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-07 Michal Komorowski , Barbel Finkenstadt , Claire V. Harper , David A. Rand

The statistical problem of parameter estimation in partially observed hypoelliptic diffusion processes is naturally occurring in many applications. However, due to the noise structure, where the noise components of the different coordinates…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-13 Susanne Ditlevsen , Adeline Samson