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The notion of the stationary equilibrium ensemble has played a central role in statistical mechanics. In machine learning as well, training serves as generalized equilibration that drives the probability distribution of model parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-24 Sho Yaida

We study diffusion-controlled processes in nonequilibrium steady states, where standard rate theory assumptions break down. Using transition path theory, we generalize the relations between reactive probability fluxes and measures of the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Seokjin Moon , David T. Limmer

In this paper, we study the diffusion approximation for singularly perturbed stochastic reaction-diffusion equation with a fast oscillating term. The asymptotic limit for the original system is obtained, where an extra Gaussian term…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Longjie Xie , Li Yang

We consider structural equation modeling (SEM) with latent variables for diffusion processes based on high-frequency data. We derive the quasi-likelihood estimators for parameters in the SEM. The goodness-of-fit test based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

A simple model of an irreversible process is introduced. The equation of iterations in the model includes a noise generation term. We study the properties of the system when the noise generation term is a stochastic process (e.g. a random…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. A. Sozanski , J. J. Zebrowski

Parameter estimation, which represents a classical inverse problem, is often ill-posed as different parameter combinations can yield identical outputs. This non-uniqueness poses a critical barrier to accurate and unique identification. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Feiqin Zhu , Dmitrii Torbunov , Zhongjing Jiang , Tianqiao Zhao , Amirthagunaraj Yogarathnam , Yihui Ren , Meng Yue

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

A new Bayesian approach to linear system identification has been proposed in a series of recent papers. The main idea is to frame linear system identification as predictor estimation in an infinite dimensional space, with the aid of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Diego Romeres , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Alessandro Chiuso

We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

Spatio-temporal biochemical signaling in a large class of protein-protein interaction networks is well modeled by a reaction-diffusion system. The global existence of the solution to the reaction-diffusion system is determined by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Insoon Yang , Claire J. Tomlin

Non-equilibrium systems have long-ranged spatial correlations even far away from critical points. This implies that the likelihoods of spatial steady state profiles of physical observables are nonlocal functionals. In this letter, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Otto Pulkkinen

A key feature of the classical Fluctuation Dissipation theorem is its ability to approximate the average response of a dynamical system to a sufficiently small external perturbation from an appropriate time correlation function of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Rafail V. Abramov

Diffusion models have shown remarkable performance in generation problems over various domains including images, videos, text, and audio. A practical bottleneck of diffusion models is their sampling speed, due to the repeated evaluation of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Taehong Moon , Moonseok Choi , EungGu Yun , Jongmin Yoon , Gayoung Lee , Jaewoong Cho , Juho Lee

We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

Learning dynamical systems from incomplete or noisy data is inherently ill-posed, as a single observation may correspond to multiple plausible futures. While physics-based ensemble forecasting relies on perturbing initial states to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stephane Gaudreault

The main purpose of this paper is to introduce a new class of regression models for bounded continuous data, commonly encountered in applied research. The models, named the power logit regression models, assume that the response variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes Paula Ferrari

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

We describe a method for fitting distributions to data which only requires knowledge of the parametric form of either the signal or the background but not both. The unknown distribution is fit using a non-parametric kernel density…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. López
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