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The response of the Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) to changing climate forcings is an important driver of sea-level changes. Anthropogenic climate change may drive a sizeable AIS tipping point response with subsequent increases in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-02-08 Kelsey L. Ruckert , Gary Shaffer , David Pollard , Yawen Guan , Tony E. Wong , Chris E. Forest , Klaus Keller

Human-induced climate change may cause significant ice volume loss from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). Projections of ice volume change from ice-sheet models and corresponding future sea-level rise have large uncertainties due to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-08 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Patrick Applegate , David Pollard

Arctic sea ice extent has drawn increasing interest and alarm from geoscientists, owing to its rapid decline. In this article, we propose a Bayesian spatio-temporal hierarchical statistical model for binary Arctic sea ice data over two…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-17 Bohai Zhang , Noel Cressie

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and polar ice sheets are coupled tipping elements, allowing for potential cascading tipping events in which tipping is facilitated by their mutual interactions. However, while an AMOC…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-25 Sacha Sinet , Anna S. von der Heydt , Henk A. Dijkstra

Future sea-level rise poses nontrivial risks for many coastal communities. Managing these risks often relies on consensus projections like those provided by the IPCC. Yet, there is a growing awareness that the surrounding uncertainties may…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-13 Alexander M. R. Bakker , Tony E. Wong , Kelsey L. Ruckert , Klaus Keller

Ice shell dynamics are an important control on the habitability of icy ocean worlds. Here we present a systematic study evaluating the effect of temperature-dependent material properties on these dynamics. We review the published thermal…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-07 Evan Carnahan , Natalie S. Wolfenbarger , Jacob S. Jordan , Marc A. Hesse

We describe a comprehensive model for the formation and morphological development of atmospheric ice crystals growing from water vapor, also known as snow crystals. Our model derives in part from empirical measurements of the intrinsic ice…

Materials Science · Physics 2012-11-26 Kenneth G. Libbrecht

It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a slowing down when a system destabilises towards a tipping…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-26 Sebastian Bathiany , Bregje van der Bolt , Mark S. Williamson , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Egbert van Nes , Dirk Notz

Bayesian methods for modelling and inference are being increasingly used in the cryospheric sciences, and glaciology in particular. Here, we present a review of recent works in glaciology that adopt a Bayesian approach when conducting an…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Giri Gopalan , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Felicity McCormack

Over the last few decades, climate scientists have devoted much effort to the development of large numerical models of the atmosphere and the ocean. While there is no question that such models provide important and useful information on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-25 Michel Crucifix , Jonathan Rougier

This chapter is dedicated to the slow dynamics of the climate system, at time scales of one~thousand to one million years. We focus specifically on the phenomenon of ice ages that has characterised the slow evolution of climate over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-14 Michel Crucifix , Guillaume Lenoir , Takahito Mitsui

The weathering crust is a layer of porous ice that can form at the surface of an ice sheet. It grows and decays in response changing weather and climate conditions, affecting the albedo, the melt rate, and the transport of meltwater across…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-05-06 Tilly Woods , Ian J. Hewitt

The ice shelves buttressing the Antarctic ice sheet determine the rate of ice-discharge into the surrounding oceans. The geometry of ice shelves, and hence their buttressing strength, is determined by ice flow as well as by the local…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-14 Guy Moss , Vjeran Višnjević , Olaf Eisen , Falk M. Oraschewski , Cornelius Schröder , Jakob H. Macke , Reinhard Drews

Convective flows coupled with solidification or melting in water bodies play a major role in shaping geophysical landscapes. Particularly in relation to the global climate warming scenario, it is essential to be able to accurately quantify…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-11 Ziqi Wang , Enrico Calzavarini , Chao Sun , Federico Toschi

The Arctic sea ice cover has significantly declined over the recent decades. The debate on whether this decline is caused by anthropogenic activity or internal cycles is still ongoing. However, despite this uncertainty, some physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-26 Arya Kimiaghalam

The dynamics of many of Antarctica's glaciers are modulated by a hydrological system at the base of the ice. Sedimentary basins beneath the ice bed contribute to the water budget in this hydrological system by discharging or taking up…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-17 Gabriel J. Cairns , Graham P. Benham , Ian J. Hewitt

Glacier and ice-sheet motion is fundamental to glaciology. However, we still lack a consensus for the optimal way to relate basal velocity to basal traction for large-scale glacier and ice-sheet models (the 'sliding relationship').…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-22 Robert Law , David Chandler , Phillip Voigt , Ivan Utkin , Andreas Born

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

As we deal with the effects of climate change and the increase of global atmospheric temperatures, the accurate tracking and prediction of ice layers within polar ice sheets grows in importance. Studying these ice layers reveals climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Benjamin Zalatan , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

The field of ice sheet, ice shelf and glacier-related seismology, cryoseismology, has seen rapid development in recent years. As concern grows for the implications of change in the great ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica, so instrument…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-04 Ross J. Turner , Jared C. Magyar , Sue Cook , Anya M. Reading
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