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Since about 2000, the total mass of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) has declined at a near-linear rate, increasing global sea levels. Since 2016, however, satellite gravimetry data reveal a slowdown in net AIS mass loss and a net mass gain…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Marlen Kolbe , Jose Abraham Torres Alavez , Ruth Mottram , Marwan Katurji , Richard Bintanja , Eveline C. van der Linden

Mechanisms such as ice-shelf hydrofracturing and ice-cliff collapse may rapidly increase discharge from marine-based ice sheets. Here, we link a probabilistic framework for sea-level projections to a small ensemble of Antarctic ice-sheet…

We present here formal evidence of a strong linkage between temperature and East Antarctic ice accumulation over the past eight hundred kiloyears, after accounting for thinning. The conclusions are based on statistical analysis of a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-27 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta , Prosenjit Ghosh

Snow density estimates below the surface, used with airplane-acquired ice-penetrating radar measurements, give a site-specific history of snow water accumulation. Because it is infeasible to drill snow cores across all of Antarctica to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-20 Philip A. White , Durban G. Keeler , Summer Rupper

Understanding the interactions between ice sheets and global climate forcings over geological timescales is essential for projecting their future. Previous studies have highlighted the role of ice dynamics and climate interactions in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Pijush Patra , Ludovico T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer

Spatial phenomena often exhibit heterogeneity across spatial extents and in proximity, making them complex to model-especially in dynamic regions like ice shelves and sea ice. In this study, we address this challenge by exploring the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Maloy Kumar Devnath , Sudip Chakraborty , Vandana P. Janeja

The majority of research on efficient and scalable algorithms in computational science and engineering has focused on the forward problem: given parameter inputs, solve the governing equations to determine output quantities of interest. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-05 Tobin Isaac , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

The role of water ice in the solar system is reviewed from a fluid-dynamical point of view. On Earth and Mars, water ice forms ice sheets, ice caps and glaciers at the surface, which show glacial flow under their own weight. By contrast,…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-05-22 Ralf Greve

The focus of our work is improving the interpretability of anomalies in climate models and advancing our understanding of Arctic melt dynamics. The Arctic and Antarctic ice sheets are experiencing rapid surface melting and increased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Tolulope Ale , Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel , Vandana P. Janeja

Rapid changes in Earth's cryosphere caused by human activity can lead to significant environmental impacts. Computer models provide a useful tool for understanding the behavior and projecting the future of Arctic and Antarctic ice sheets.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-01 Won Chang , Bledar A. Konomi , Georgios Karagiannis , Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

Full thickness crevasses can transport water from the glacier surface to the bedrock where high water pressures can open kilometre-long cracks along the basal interface, which can accelerate glacier flow. We present a first computational…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Tim Hageman , Jessica Mejía , Ravindra Duddu , Emilio Martínez-Pañeda

The rapidly shrinking Arctic sea ice is changing weather patterns and disrupting the balance of nature. Dynamics of Arctic weather variability (WV) plays a crucial role in weather forecasting and is closely related to extreme weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-07 Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan , Uma S Bhatt , Jürgen Kurths

The physics of planetary climate features a variety of complex systems that are challenging to model as they feature turbulent flows. A key example is the heat flux from the upper ocean to the underside of sea ice which provides a key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-16 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , Andrew J. Wells

Though machine learning has achieved notable success in modeling sequential and spatial data for speech recognition and in computer vision, applications to remote sensing and climate science problems are seldom considered. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Yimeng Min , S. Karthik Mukkavilli , Yoshua Bengio

Lake ice is a strong climate indicator and has been recognised as part of the Essential Climate Variables (ECV) by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS). The dynamics of freezing and thawing, and possible shifts of freezing patterns…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Rajanie Prabha , Manu Tom , Mathias Rothermel , Emmanuel Baltsavias , Laura Leal-Taixe , Konrad Schindler

We formulate a model describing the evolution of thickness in a shallow ice sheet lying over a lithosphere. The model is thus governed by a set of variational inequalities that involve nonlinearities in the time derivative and in the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Paolo Piersanti , Roger Temam

The Early Anthropogenic Hypothesis considers that greenhouse gas concentrations should have declined during the Holocene in absence of humankind activity, leading to glacial inception around the present. It partly relies on the fact that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-12-15 Michel Crucifix

The climate record preserved in polar glaciers, mountain glaciers, and widespread cave deposits shows repeated occurrence of abrupt global transitions between cold/dry stadial and warm/wet interstadial states during glacial periods. These…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-07-03 Brian F. Farrell , Dorian S. Abbot

Ice-infiltrated sediment, known as a frozen fringe, leads to phenomena such as frost heave, ice lenses, and meters of debris-rich ice under glaciers. Understanding the dynamics of frozen fringe development is important as frost heave is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-28 Colin R. Meyer , Christian Schoof , Alan W. Rempel

Strategies to manage the risks posed by future sea-level rise hinge on a sound characterization of the inherent uncertainties. One of the major uncertainties is the possible rapid disintegration of large fractions of the Antarctic ice sheet…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-07-24 Tony E. Wong , Alexander M. R. Bakker , Klaus Keller