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Real-time probability forecasts for binary outcomes are routine in sports, online experimentation, medicine, and finance. Retrospective narratives, however, often hinge on pathwise extremes: for example, a forecast that becomes "90%…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-03 Jonathan Pipping-Gamón , Abraham J. Wyner

For a set $A\subset C[0,\infty)$, we give new results on the growth of the number of particles in a dyadic branching Brownian motion whose paths fall within A. We show that it is possible to work without rescaling the paths. We give large…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-24 Simon C. Harris , Matthew I. Roberts

We study periodic Brownian paths, wrapped around the surface of a cylinder. One characteristic of such a path is its width square, $w^2$, defined as its variance. Though the average of $w^2$ over all possible paths is well known, its full…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 A J McKane , R K P Zia

Previous proposals to permit non-exponential free-path statistics in radiative transfer have not included support for volume and boundary sources that are spatially uncorrelated from the scattering events in the medium. Birth-collision free…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-02-19 Eugene d'Eon

We revisit the ergodic theorem for the frontier of branching Brownian motion (BBM). Motivated by the proof of Arguin, Bovier, and Kistler \cite{arguin2012ergodic}, we provide a shorter and more direct argument. It relies on two…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Gabriel Flath

Let $W_i=\{W_i(t), t\in \mathbb{R}_+\}, i=1,2$ be two Wiener processes and $W_3=\{W_3(\mathbf{t}), \mathbf{t}\in \mathbb{R}_+^2\}$ be a two-parameter Brownian sheet, all three processes being mutually independent. We derive upper and lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura

We study the distribution of several statistics of large non-crossing partitions. First, we prove the Gaussian limit theorem for the number of blocks of a given fixed size. In contrast to the properties of usual set partitions, we show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Vladislav Kargin

For an ergodic Brownian diffusion with invariant measure $\nu$, we consider a sequence of empirical distributions ($\nu$n) n$\ge$1 associated with an approximation scheme with decreasing time step ($\gamma$n) n$\ge$1 along an adapted…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 I Honoré

It has been proved by Bovier & Hartung [Elect. J. Probab. 19 (2014)] that the maximum of a variable-speed branching Brownian motion (BBM) in the weak correlation regime converges to a randomly shifted Gumbel distribution. The random shift…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Constantin Glenz , Nicola Kistler , Marius A. Schmidt

We investigate a diffusive motion of a system of interacting Brownian particles in quasi-one-dimensional micropores. In particular, we consider a semi-infinite 1D geometry with a partially absorbing boundary and the hard-core inter-particle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-06 Artem Ryabov , Petr Chvosta

It is well-known that the maximal particle in a branching Brownian motion sits near $\sqrt2 t - \frac{3}{2\sqrt2}\log t$ at time $t$. One may then ask about the paths of particles near the frontier: how close can they stay to this critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-20 Matthew I. Roberts

We study line ensembles arising naturally in symmetrized/half-space geometric last passage percolation (LPP) on the $N \times N$ square. The weights of the model are geometrically distributed with parameter $q^2$ off the diagonal and $cq$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Evgeni Dimitrov , Zhengye Zhou

Fractional Brownian motion (FBM), a non-Markovian self-similar Gaussian stochastic process with long-ranged correlations, represents a widely applied, paradigmatic mathematical model of anomalous diffusion. We report the results of…

We study branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ in a bounded i.i.d. random environment. For this process, we prove that, for almost every realization of the environment, the distributions of the maximally displaced particle (re-centered…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Jiří Černý , Flavio Dalessi

We consider three global characteristic times for a one-dimensional Brownian motion $x(\tau)$ in the interval $\tau\in [0,t]$: the occupation time $t_{\rm o}$ denoting the cumulative time where $x(\tau)>0$, the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-01 Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar

We consider a variant of the continuous and discrete Ulam-Hammersley problems: we study the maximal length of an increasing path through a Poisson point process (or a Bernoulli point process) with the restriction that there must be minimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Anne-Laure Basdevant , Lucas Gerin

A comparison technique for finite random walks on finite graphs is introduced, using the well-known interlacing method. It yields improved return probability bounds. A key feature is the incorporation of parts of the spectrum of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-04 Florian Sobieczky

We provide a representation of the maximal difference between a standard Brownian bridge and its concave majorant on the unit interval, from which we deduce expressions for the distribution and density functions and moments of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-05 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Jim Pitman

The 'Arcsine' laws of Brownian particles in one dimension describe distributions of three quantities: the time $t_m$ to reach maximum position, the time $t_r$ spent on the positive side and the time $t_\ell$ of the last visit to the origin.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-07 Prashant Singh , Anupam Kundu

We access the edge of Gaussian beta ensembles with one spike by analyzing high powers of the associated tridiagonal matrix models. In the classical cases beta=1, 2, 4, this corresponds to studying the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalues…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Pierre Yves Gaudreau Lamarre , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov