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Multistate models can be used to describe transitions over time across states. In the presence of interval-censored times for transitions, the likelihood is constructed using transition probabilities. Models are specified using proportional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-22 Robson J. M. Machado , Ardo van den Hout , Giampiero Marra

In this paper, we provide a general methodology to draw statistical inferences on individual signal coordinates or linear combinations of them in sparse phase retrieval. Given an initial estimator for the targeting parameter (some simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-29 Yisha Yao

Standard confidence intervals employed in applied statistical analysis are usually based on asymptotic approximations. Such approximations can be considerably inaccurate in small and moderate sized samples. We derive accurate confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Eliane C. Pinheiro , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Francisco M. C. Medeiros

We introduce a new adjusted residual maximum likelihood method (REML) in the context of producing an empirical Bayes (EB) confidence interval for a normal mean, a problem of great interest in different small area applications. Like other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Masayo Yoshimori , Partha Lahiri

This article concerns the application of bootstrap methodology to construct a likelihood-based confidence region for operating conditions associated with the maximum of a response surface constrained to a specified region. Unlike classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-11-14 Roger D. Gibb , I-Li Lu , Walter H. Carter

We exploit the asymptotic normality of the extreme value theory (EVT) based estimators of the parameters of a symmetric L\'evy-stable distribution, to construct confidence intervals. The accuracy of these intervals is evaluated through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-11 Djamel Meraghni , Louiza Soltane

This paper examines estimation of skill formation models, a critical component in understanding human capital development and its effects on individual outcomes. Existing estimators are either based on moment conditions and only applicable…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-28 Antonia Antweiler , Joachim Freyberger

We study the maximum smoothed likelihood estimator (MSLE) for interval censoring, case 2, in the so-called separated case. Characterizations in terms of convex duality conditions are given and strong consistency is proved. Moreover, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Piet Groeneboom

In this article, we derive an explicit formula for computing confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable. Moreover, we have developed multistage point estimation methods for estimating the mean value with prescribed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Xinjia Chen

Although a few methods have been developed recently for building confidence intervals after model selection, how to construct confidence sets for joint post-selection inference is still an open question. In this paper, we develop a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-19 Seunghyun Min , Qing Zhou

We study an optimization-based approach to construct statistically accurate confidence intervals for simulation performance measures under nonparametric input uncertainty. This approach computes confidence bounds from simulation runs driven…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

In this paper we first provide a method to compute confidence intervals for the center of a piecewise normal distribution given a sample from this distribution, under certain assumptions. We then extend this method to an asymptotic setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Shu Lu , Hongsheng Liu

Sometimes, we do not use a maximum likelihood estimator of a probability but it's a smoothed estimator in order to cope with the zero frequency problem. This is often the case when we use the Naive Bayes classifier. Laplace smoothing is a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Masato Kikuchi , Mitsuo Yoshida , Masayuki Okabe , Kyoji Umemura

The problem of nonlinear functional of parameters, such as differential entropy, has received much attention in information theory and statistics. In many situations, prior information about the parameters is available in the form of order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Somnath Mandal , Lakshmi Kanta Patra

This paper addresses the open problem of conducting change-point analysis for interval-valued time series data using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) framework. Motivated by financial time series, we analyze data that includes daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Li-Hsien Sun , Zong-Yuan Huang , Chi-Yang Chiu , Ning Ning

We present methodology for constructing pointwise confidence intervals for the cumulative distribution function and the quantiles of mixing distributions on the unit interval from binomial mixture distribution samples. No assumptions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Pallavi Basu , Barak Brill , Daniel Yekutieli

In assessing prediction accuracy of multivariable prediction models, optimism corrections are essential for preventing biased results. However, in most published papers of clinical prediction models, the point estimates of the prediction…

This paper introduces a first implementation of a novel likelihood-ratio-based approach for constructing confidence intervals for neural networks. Our method, called DeepLR, offers several qualitative advantages: most notably, the ability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-07 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

The age of big data has produced data sets that are computationally expensive to analyze and store. Algorithmic leveraging proposes that we sample observations from the original data set to generate a representative data set and then…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-13 Katelyn Gao

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet