English

A second-order efficient empirical Bayes confidence interval

Statistics Theory 2014-08-29 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We introduce a new adjusted residual maximum likelihood method (REML) in the context of producing an empirical Bayes (EB) confidence interval for a normal mean, a problem of great interest in different small area applications. Like other rival empirical Bayes confidence intervals such as the well-known parametric bootstrap empirical Bayes method, the proposed interval is second-order correct, that is, the proposed interval has a coverage error of order O(m3/2)O(m^{-{3}/{2}}). Moreover, the proposed interval is carefully constructed so that it always produces an interval shorter than the corresponding direct confidence interval, a property not analytically proved for other competing methods that have the same coverage error of order O(m3/2)O(m^{-{3}/{2}}). The proposed method is not simulation-based and requires only a fraction of computing time needed for the corresponding parametric bootstrap empirical Bayes confidence interval. A Monte Carlo simulation study demonstrates the superiority of the proposed method over other competing methods.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1407.0158,
  title  = {A second-order efficient empirical Bayes confidence interval},
  author = {Masayo Yoshimori and Partha Lahiri},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1407.0158},
  year   = {2014}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/14-AOS1219 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)

R2 v1 2026-06-22T04:52:13.370Z