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We present a novel approach to modeling market dynamics using ordinary differential equations that explicitly incorporates product competitiveness and consumer behavior. Our framework treats market segments as interacting populations in a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Aparna Komarla , Max Hill

In this paper we study the optimal investment and reinsurance problem of an insurance company whose investment preferences are described via a forward dynamic exponential utility in a regime-switching market model. Financial and actuarial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-29 Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

We formulate the inverse problem in a Bayesian framework and aim to train a generative model that allows us to simulate (i.e., sample from the likelihood) and do inference (i.e., sample from the posterior). We review the use of triangular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-05 Tristan van Leeuwen , Christoph Brune , Marcello Carioni

In end-to-end distributed real time systems, a task may be executed sequentially on different processors. The end-toend task response time must not exceed the end-to-end task deadline to consider the task a schedulable task. In transient…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2013-06-04 W. El-Haweet , Islam Elgedawy , Ibrahim Abd El-Salam

We propose a novel method for fast and scalable evaluation of periodic solutions of systems of ordinary differential equations for a given set of parameter values and initial conditions. The equations governing the system dynamics are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-30 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban , T. A. Tyukina , J. Al Ameri , Yu. A. Korablev

A new branch based on Markov processes is developing in the recent literature of financial time series modeling. In this paper, an Indexed Markov Chain has been used to model high frequency price returns of quoted firms. The peculiarity of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-06 Guglielmo D'Amico , Ada Lika , Filippo Petroni

The analysis of observable phenomena (for instance, in biology or physics) allows the detection of dynamical behaviors and, conversely, starting from a desired behavior allows the design of objects exhibiting that behavior in engineering.…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Antonio E. Porreca , Marius Rolland

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle using the measurable selection method for stochastic control of continuous processes. The novelty of this work is to incorporate intermediate expectation constraints on the canonical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Yuk-Loong Chow , Xiang Yu , Chao Zhou

We propose the concept of adaptable processes as a way of overcoming the limitations that process calculi have for describing patterns of dynamic process evolution. Such patterns rely on direct ways of controlling the behavior and location…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Mario Bravetti , Cinzia Di Giusto , Jorge A Perez , Gianluigi Zavattaro

We propose a model in which dividend payments occur at regular, deterministic intervals in an otherwise continuous model. This contrasts traditional models where either the payment of continuous dividends is controlled or the dynamics are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Jussi Keppo , Max Reppen , H. Mete Soner

Temporal set prediction involves forecasting the elements that will appear in the next set, given a sequence of prior sets, each containing a variable number of elements. Existing methods often rely on intricate architectures with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Ashish Ranjan , Ayush Agarwal , Shalin Barot , Sushant Kumar

We propose model predictive funnel control, a novel model predictive control (MPC) scheme building upon recent results in funnel control. The latter is a high-gain feedback methodology that achieves evolution of the measured output within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Jens Göbel , Dario Dennstädt , Lukas Lanza , Karl Worthmann , Thomas Berger , Tobias Damm

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

Service monitoring applications continuously produce data to monitor their availability. Hence, it is critical to classify incoming data in real-time and accurately. For this purpose, our study develops an adaptive classification approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Farzana Anowar , Samira Sadaoui , Hardik Dalal

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

Process analytics is an umbrella of data-driven techniques which includes making predictions for individual process instances or overall process models. At the instance level, various novel techniques have been recently devised, tackling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Johannes De Smedt , Anton Yeshchenko , Artem Polyvyanyy , Jochen De Weerdt , Jan Mendling

In this article we study the retrospective inverse problem. The retrospective inverse problem consists of in the reconstruction of a priori unknown initial condition of the dynamic system from its known final condition. Existence and…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-09-19 Oleg Yaremko

Inverse problems aim to determine parameters from observations, a crucial task in engineering and science. Lately, generative models, especially diffusion models, have gained popularity in this area for their ability to produce realistic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Gabriel della Maggiora , Luis Alberto Croquevielle , Nikita Deshpande , Harry Horsley , Thomas Heinis , Artur Yakimovich