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In the field of surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) allows practitioners to construct inexpensive yet accurate surrogates to be used in place of the expensive forward model simulations. For black-box simulations,…

Sampling orthogonal polynomial bases via Monte Carlo is of interest for uncertainty quantification of models with high-dimensional random inputs, using Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions. It is known that bounding a probabilistic parameter,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Bayesian analysis enables combining prior knowledge with measurement data to learn model parameters. Commonly, one resorts to computing the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate, when only a point estimate of the parameters is of interest. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-08 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Bruno Sudret , Gerhard Müller

We have developed the {\it general method} for the description of {\it separatrix chaos}, basing on the analysis of the separatrix map dynamics. Matching it with the resonant Hamiltonian analysis, we show that, for a given amplitude of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-11-01 S. M. Soskin , R. Mannella , O. M. Yevtushenko

We consider time-periodically perturbed 1D Hamiltonian systems possessing one or more separatrices. If the perturbation is weak, then the separatrix chaos is most developed when the perturbation frequency lies in the logarithmically small…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 S. M. Soskin , R. Mannella , O. M. Yevtushenko , I. A. Khovanov , P. V. E. McClintock

We present a novel approach for solving steady-state stochastic partial differential equations (PDEs) with high-dimensional random parameter space. The proposed approach combines spatial domain decomposition with basis adaptation for each…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Ramkrishna Tipireddy , Panos Stinis , Alexandre Tartakovsky

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a versatile tool widely used in uncertainty quantification and machine learning, but its successful application depends strongly on the accuracy and reliability of the resulting PCE-based response…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-14 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

We investigate the sparsity of Wiener polynomial chaos expansions of holomorphic maps $\mathcal{G}$ on Gaussian Hilbert spaces, as arise in the coefficient-to-solution maps of linear, second order, divergence-form elliptic PDEs with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Carlo Marcati , Christoph Schwab , Jakob Zech

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Coupled problems with various combinations of multiple physics, scales, and domains can be found in numerous areas of science and engineering. A key challenge in the formulation and implementation of corresponding coupled models is to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-07-05 Maarten Arnst , Roger Ghanem , Eric Phipps , John Red-Horse

In this article the statistical properties of symmetrical random matrices whose elements are drawn from a q-parameterized non-extensive statistics power-law distribution are investigated. In the limit as q->1 the well known Gaussian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 John Evans , Fredrick Michael

Hierarchical models with gamma hyperpriors provide a flexible, sparse-promoting framework to bridge $L^1$ and $L^2$ regularizations in Bayesian formulations to inverse problems. Despite the Bayesian motivation for these models, existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Shiv Agrawal , Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Alexander Strang

Deep generative models often perform poorly in real-world applications due to the heterogeneity of natural data sets. Heterogeneity arises from data containing different types of features (categorical, ordinal, continuous, etc.) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Chao Ma , Sebastian Tschiatschek , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Richard Turner , Cheng Zhang

We propose, and illustrate via a neural network example, two different approaches to coarse-graining large heterogeneous networks. Both approaches are inspired from, and use tools developed in, methods for uncertainty quantification in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-11-03 Minseok Choi , Tom Bertalan , Carlo R. Laing , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Latent space models are popular for analyzing dynamic network data. We propose a variational approach to estimate the model parameters as well as the latent positions of the nodes in the network. The variational approach is much faster than…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Yan Liu , Yuguo Chen

In developing data-driven modeling methodologies, there is an ongoing need to reconcile the strong predictive performance of opaque black-box models with the transparency required for critical applications. This work introduces an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Xin Huang , Jia Li , Jun Yu

This paper presents a method for performing Uncertainty Quantification in high-dimensional uncertain spaces by combining arbitrary polynomial chaos with a recently proposed scheme for sensitivity enhancement (1). Including available…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Nick Pepper , Francesco Montomoli , Kyriakos Kantarakias

Recent research has shown growing interest in modeling hypergraphs, which capture polyadic interactions among entities beyond traditional dyadic relations. However, most existing methodologies for hypergraphs face significant limitations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Shihao Wu , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

We suggest that random matrix theory applied to a classical action matrix can be used in classical physics to distinguish chaotic from non-chaotic behavior. We consider the 2-D stadium billiard system as well as the 2-D anharmonic and…

This paper proposes a general framework to estimate coefficients of generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) used in uncertainty quantification via rotational sparse approximation. In particular, we aim to identify a rotation matrix such that the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-20 Mengqi Hu , Yifei Lou , Xiu Yang