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In this paper we present a basis selection method that can be used with $\ell_1$-minimization to adaptively determine the large coefficients of polynomial chaos expansions (PCE). The adaptive construction produces anisotropic basis sets…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-06-22 John D. Jakeman , Michael S. Eldred , Khachik Sargsyan

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) have been used in many real-world engineering applications to quantify how the uncertainty of an output is propagated from inputs. PCEs for models with independent inputs have been extensively explored in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-02 Zhanlin Liu , Youngjun Choe

Differential equations with random parameters have gained significant prominence in recent years due to their importance in mathematical modelling and data assimilation. In many cases, random ordinary differential equations (RODEs) are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Maxime Breden , Christian Kuehn

Compressive sensing has become a powerful addition to uncertainty quantification when only limited data is available. In this paper we provide a general framework to enhance the sparsity of the representation of uncertainty in the form of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-28 Xiu Yang , Xiaoliang Wan , Lin Lin , Huan Lei

We present an algorithm for computing sparse, least squares-based polynomial chaos expansions, incorporating both adaptive polynomial bases and sequential experimental designs. The algorithm is employed to approximate stochastic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Armin Galetzka , Herbert De Gersem

Sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are an efficient and widely used surrogate modeling method in uncertainty quantification for engineering problems with computationally expensive models. To make use of the available information in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-26 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

The work presented here investigates the application of polynomial chaos expansion toward input shaper design in order to maintain robustness in dynamical systems subject to uncertainty. Furthermore, this work intends to specifically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-05 Johannes Güttler , Karan Baker , Premjit Saha , James Warner , Adrian Stein

Matrix concentration inequalities and their recently discovered sharp counterparts provide powerful tools to bound the spectrum of random matrices whose entries are linear functions of independent random variables. However, in many…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Afonso S. Bandeira , Kevin Lucca , Petar Nizić-Nikolac , Ramon van Handel

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a versatile method that enables different approaches towards learning for dynamics and control. Gaussianity assumptions appear in two dimensions in GPs: The positive semi-definite kernel of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 T. Faulwasser , O. Molodchyk

Surrogate modeling of costly mathematical models representing physical systems is challenging since it is typically not possible to create a large experimental design. Thus, it is beneficial to constrain the approximation to adhere to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Lukáš Novák , Himanshu Sharma , Michael D. Shields

This paper proposes a novel computationally efficient dynamic bi-orthogonality based approach for calibration of a computer simulator with high dimensional parametric and model structure uncertainty. The proposed method is based on a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-14 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

This study addresses the inverse problem of parameter estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) by minimizing a regularized discrepancy functional via Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). To achieve computational efficiency, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Francisco Delgado-Vences , José Julián Pavón-Español , Arelly Ornelas

The analysis of network data has gained considerable interest in recent years. This also includes the analysis of large, high-dimensional networks with hundreds and thousands of nodes. While exponential random graph models serve as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Nadja Klein , Göran Kauermann

A spline chaos expansion, referred to as SCE, is introduced for uncertainty quantification analysis. The expansion provides a means for representing an output random variable of interest with respect to multivariate orthonormal basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Sharif Rahman

An adaptive projection-based reduced-order model (ROM) formulation is presented for model-order reduction of problems featuring chaotic and convection-dominant physics. An efficient method is formulated to adapt the basis at every time-step…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-08-09 Cheng Huang , Karthik Duraisamy

Artificial Intelligence and Machine learning have been widely used in various fields of mathematical computing, physical modeling, computational science, communication science, and stochastic analysis. Approaches based on Deep Artificial…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Sergey Oladyshkin , Timothy Praditia , Ilja Kröker , Farid Mohammadi , Wolfgang Nowak , Sebastian Otte

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoya Zhang

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are well-suited to quantifying uncertainty in models parameterized by independent random variables. The assumption of independence leads to simple strategies for evaluating PCE coefficients. In contrast,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John Jakeman , Fabian Franzelin , Akil Narayan , Michael Eldred , Dirk Plfueger

In modern randomized experiments, large-scale data collection increasingly yields rich baseline covariates and auxiliary information from multiple sources. Such information offers opportunities for more precise treatment effect estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Wei Ma , Zeqi Wu , Zheng Zhang