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A loss function measures the discrepancy between the true values and their estimated fits, for a given instance of data. In classification problems, a loss function is said to be proper if a minimizer of the expected loss is the true…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-03 Amichai Painsky , Gregory W. Wornell

This paper describes a new Bayesian interpretation of a class of skew--Student $t$ distributions. We consider a hierarchical normal model with unknown covariance matrix and show that by imposing different restrictions on the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-25 Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani

Generative models frequently suffer miscalibration, wherein statistics of the sampling distribution, such as the fraction of generations in a given class, deviate from desired values. We frame calibration as a constrained optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Henry D. Smith , Nathaniel L. Diamant , Brian L. Trippe

The Kullback-Leibler divergence or relative entropy is an information-theoretic measure between statistical models that play an important role in measuring a distance between random variables. In the study of complex systems, random fields…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Alexandre L. M. Levada

Testing whether two multivariate samples exhibit the same extremal behavior is an important problem in various fields including environmental and climate sciences. While several ad-hoc approaches exist in the literature, they often lack…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Sebastian Engelke , Philippe Naveau , Chen Zhou

We give an overview of statistical models and likelihood, together with two of its variants: penalized and hierarchical likelihood. The Kullback-Leibler divergence is referred to repeatedly, for defining the misspecification risk of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-01 Daniel Commenges

In this paper we provide the asymptotic theory of the general of $\phi$-divergences measures, which includes the most common divergence measures : Renyi and Tsallis families and the Kullback-Leibler measure. Instead of using the Parzen…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gane Samb Lo , Amadou Diadié Ba , Diam Ba

The implementation of Bayesian predictive procedures under standard normal models is considered. Two distributions are of particular interest, the K-prime and K-square distributions. They also give exact inferences for simple and multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-17 Jacques Poitevineau , Bruno Lecoutre

We develop a fully non-parametric, easy-to-use, and powerful test for the missing completely at random (MCAR) assumption on the missingness mechanism of a dataset. The test compares distributions of different missing patterns on random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Meta-Lina Spohn , Jeffrey Näf , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

This paper shows that large nonparametric classes of conditional multivariate densities can be approximated in the Kullback--Leibler distance by different specifications of finite mixtures of normal regressions in which normal means and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Andriy Norets

In this paper, we compare the performance of two methods for estimating Bayesian networks from data containing exogenous variables and random effects. The first method is fully Bayesian in which a prior distribution is placed on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-02 Jessica Kasza , Patty Solomon

Comparing probability distributions is an indispensable and ubiquitous task in machine learning and statistics. The most common way to compare a pair of Borel probability measures is to compute a metric between them, and by far the most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Yuhang Cai , Lek-Heng Lim

In this paper we propose an objective Bayesian estimation approach for the parameters of the generalized gamma distribution. Various reference priors are obtained, but showing that they lead to improper posterior distributions. We overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

There exist two different versions of the Kullback-Leibler divergence (K-Ld) in Tsallis statistics, namely the usual generalized K-Ld and the generalized Bregman K-Ld. Problems have been encountered in trying to reconcile them. A condition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 R. C. Venkatesan , A. Plastino

Aggregation methods have emerged as a powerful and flexible framework in statistical learning, providing unified solutions across diverse problems such as regression, classification, and density estimation. In the context of generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 The Tien Mai

When sampling multi-modal probability distributions, correctly estimating the relative probability of each mode, even when the modes have been discovered and locally sampled, remains challenging. We test a simple reweighting scheme designed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Pierre Monmarché

The generalized binomial distribution in Tsallis statistics (power-law system) is explicitly formulated from the precise $q$-Stirling's formula. The $\alpha $-divergence (or $q$-divergence) is uniquely derived from the generalized binomial…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-05-13 Hiroki Suyari , Antonio Maria Scarfone

This paper illustrates novel methods for nonstationary time series modeling along with their applications to selected problems in neuroscience. These methods are semi-parametric in that inferences are derived by combining sequential…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Fabio Rigat , Jim Q. Smith

We consider the fundamental problem of estimating a discrete distribution on a domain of size $K$ with high probability in Kullback-Leibler divergence. We provide upper and lower bounds on the minimax estimation rate, which show that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Dirk van der Hoeven , Julia Olkhovskaia , Tim van Erven