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Model averaging is a useful and robust method for dealing with model uncertainty in statistical analysis. Often, it is useful to consider data subset selection at the same time, in which model selection criteria are used to compare models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

We approximate a given rational spectral density by one that is consistent with prescribed second-order statistics. Such an approximation is obtained by minimizing a suitable distance from the given spectrum and under the constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-19 Mattia Zorzi

AIC is commonly used for model selection but the precise value of AIC has no direct interpretation. We are interested in quantifying a difference of risks between two models. This may be useful for both an explanatory point of view or for…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-28 D. Commenges , A. Sayyareh , L. Letenneur , J. Guedj , A. Bar-Hen

In statistical classification and machine learning, classification error is an important performance measure, which is minimized by the Bayes decision rule. In practice, the unknown true distribution is usually replaced with a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Zijian Yang , Vahe Eminyan , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

The $\alpha$-divergences include the well-known Kullback-Leibler divergence, Hellinger distance and $\chi^2$-divergence. In this paper, we derive differential and integral relations between the $\alpha$-divergences that are generalizations…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Tomohiro Nishiyama

The non-parametric version of Amari's dually affine Information Geometry provides a practical calculus to perform computations of interest in statistical machine learning. The method uses the notion of a statistical bundle, a mathematical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Giovanni Pistone

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

This work studies the variation in Kullback-Leibler divergence between random draws from some popular nonparametric processes and their baseline measure. In particular we focus on the Dirichlet process, the P\'olya tree and the frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 James Watson , Luis Nieto-Barajas , Chris Holmes

In this paper, we derive some upper and lower bounds and inequalities for the total variation distance (TVD) and the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD), also known as the relative entropy, between two probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Ievlev Pavel , Timofei Shashkov

We develop a unified Data Processing Inequality PAC-Bayesian framework -- abbreviated DPI-PAC-Bayesian -- for deriving generalization error bounds in the supervised learning setting. By embedding the Data Processing Inequality (DPI) into…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Muhan Guan , Farhad Farokhi , Jingge Zhu

This paper studies the problem of interacting multiple model (IMM) estimation for jump Markov linear systems with unknown measurement noise covariance. The system state and the unknown covariance are jointly estimated in the framework of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-06 Wenling Li , Yingmin Jia

We present a so-called universal convergence theorem for inexact primal-dual penalty and augmented Lagrangian methods that can be applied to a large number of such methods and reduces their convergence analysis to verification of some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-10 M. V. Dolgopolik

$f$-divergences, which quantify discrepancy between probability distributions, are ubiquitous in information theory, machine learning, and statistics. While there are numerous methods for estimating $f$-divergences from data, a limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Sreejith Sreekumar , Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

We provide guarantees for approximate Gaussian Process (GP) regression resulting from two common low-rank kernel approximations: based on random Fourier features, and based on truncating the kernel's Mercer expansion. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-22 Constantinos Daskalakis , Petros Dellaportas , Aristeidis Panos

We provide guarantees for approximate Gaussian Process (GP) regression resulting from two common low-rank kernel approximations: based on random Fourier features, and based on truncating the kernel's Mercer expansion. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-16 Constantinos Daskalakis , Petros Dellaportas , Aristeidis Panos

In \cite{KumarS15J2}, it was shown that a generalized maximum likelihood estimation problem on a (canonical) $\alpha$-power-law model ($\mathbb{M}^{(\alpha)}$-family) can be solved by solving a system of linear equations. This was due to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Atin Gayen , M. Ashok Kumar

Modern applications of Bayesian inference involve models that are sufficiently complex that the corresponding posterior distributions are intractable and must be approximated. The most common approximation is based on Markov chain Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Yue Yang , Ryan Martin , Howard Bondell

We propose a greedy mixture reduction algorithm which is capable of pruning mixture components as well as merging them based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD). The algorithm is distinct from the well-known Runnalls' KLD based method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-25 Tohid Ardeshiri , Umut Orguner , Emre Özkan

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation and prediction for nonhomogeneous Poisson process models with unknown intensity functions. We propose a class of improper priors for intensity functions. Nonparametric Bayesian inference with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Fumiyasu Komaki

This paper introduces a variational approximation framework using direct optimization of what is known as the {\it scale invariant Alpha-Beta divergence} (sAB divergence). This new objective encompasses most variational objectives that use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-22 Jean-Baptiste Regli , Ricardo Silva
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