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We introduce a novel way to extract information from turbulent datasets by applying an ARMA statistical analysis. Such analysis goes well beyond the analysis of the mean flow and of the fluctuations and links the behavior of the recorded…

The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is one of the most important models in time series analysis.We consider the Bayesian estimation of an unknown spectral density in the ARMA model.In the i.i.d. cases, Komaki showed that Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fuyuhiko Tanaka , Fumiyasu Komaki

Multiple imputation provides an effective way to handle missing data. When several possible models are under consideration for the data, the multiple imputation is typically performed under a single-best model selected from the candidate…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-30 Gyuhyeong Goh , Jae Kwang Kim

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure and has considerable power in finite samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Dominik Wied

A new likelihood based AR approximation is given for ARMA models. The usual algorithms for the computation of the likelihood of an ARMA model require $O(n)$ flops per function evaluation. Using our new approximation, an algorithm is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 A. Ian McLeod , Ying Zhang

Permutation tests are widely recognized as robust alternatives to tests based on normal theory. Random permutation tests have been frequently employed to assess the significance of variables in linear models. Despite their widespread use,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Leying Guan

The standard approach for studying the periodic ARMA model with coefficients that vary over the seasons is to express it in a vector form. In this paper we introduce an alternative method which views the periodic formulation as a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-20 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Stavros Dafnos

Among the various models designed for dependent count data, integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) processes enjoy great popularity. Typically, statistical inference for INAR models uses asymptotic theory that relies on rather stringent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Christian H. Weiß

A class of tests for change-point detection designed to be particularly sensitive to changes in the cross-sectional rank correlation of multivariate time series is proposed. The derived procedures are based on several multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Jean-François Quessy , Tom Rohmer

Goodness--of--fit tests for the distribution of the composed error term in a Stochastic Frontier Model (SFM) are suggested. The focus is on the case of a normal/gamma SFM and the heavy--tailed stable/gamma SFM. In the first case the moment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Christos K. Papadimitriou , Simos G. Meintanis , Bernardo B. Andrade , Mike G. Tsionas

In this paper we propose a nonparametric procedure for validating the assumption of stationarity in multivariate locally stationary time series models. We develop a bootstrap assisted test based on a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type statistic, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Ruprecht Puchstein , Philip Preuß

We consider estimation of the covariance matrix of a multivariate random vector under the constraint that certain covariances are zero. We first present an algorithm, which we call Iterative Conditional Fitting, for computing the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical…

Nonlinear initial value turbulence simulations often exhibit large temporal variations in their dynamics. Quantifying the temporal uncertainty of turbulence simulation outputs is an important component of validating the simulation results…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-03-01 Payam Vaezi , Chris Holland

We consider the issue of performing accurate small-sample testing inference in beta regression models, which are useful for modeling continuous variates that assume values in $(0,1)$, such as rates and proportions. We derive the Bartlett…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-30 Fábio M. Bayer , Francisco Cribari-Neto

A time-domain test for the assumption of second order stationarity of a functional time series is proposed. The test is based on combining individual cumulative sum tests which are designed to be sensitive to changes in the mean, variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Functional panels are collections of functional time series, and arise often in the study of high frequency multivariate data. We develop a portmanteau style test to determine if the cross-sections of such a panel are independent and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-12 Piotr Kokoszka , Matthew Reimherr , Nikolas Wölfing

We prove that a time series satisfying a (linear) multivariate autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model satisfies the same model assumption in the reversed time direction, too, if all innovations are normally distributed. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-03 Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jonas Peters

Incorporating speed probability distribution to the computation of the route planning in car navigation systems guarantees more accurate and precise responses. In this paper, we propose a novel approach for dynamically selecting the number…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Emanuele Vitali , Davide Gadioli , Gianluca Palermo , Martin Golasowski , Joao Bispo , Pedro Pinto , Jan Martinovic , Katerina Slaninova , Joao M. P. Cardoso , Cristina Silvano

This paper studies goodness of fit tests and specification tests for an extension of the log-GARCH model which is stable by scaling. A Lagrange-Multiplier test is derived for testing the null assumption of extended log-GARCH against more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Christian Francq , Olivier Wintenberger , Jean-Michel Zakoïan