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Representation learning models for graphs are a successful family of techniques that project nodes into feature spaces that can be exploited by other machine learning algorithms. Since many real-world networks are inherently dynamic, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Simone Piaggesi , André Panisson

Learning the structure of a network from time series data, in particular cyclostationary data, is of significant interest in many disciplines such as power grids, biology and finance. In this article, an algorithm is presented for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Harish Doddi , Saurav Talukdar , Deepjyoti Deka , Murti Salapaka

Many applications collect a large number of time series, for example, the financial data of companies quoted in a stock exchange, the health care data of all patients that visit the emergency room of a hospital, or the temperature sequences…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-09 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

Stationary stochastic processes (SPs) are a key component of many probabilistic models, such as those for off-the-grid spatio-temporal data. They enable the statistical symmetry of underlying physical phenomena to be leveraged, thereby…

Established recurrent neural networks are well-suited to solve a wide variety of prediction tasks involving discrete sequences. However, they do not perform as well in the task of dynamical system identification, when dealing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Thomas Demeester

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Many multi-variate time series obtained in the natural sciences and engineering possess a repetitive behavior, as for instance state-space trajectories of industrial machines in discrete automation. Recovering the times of recurrence from…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Simon Schindler , Elias Steffen Reich , Saverio Messineo , Simon Hoher , Stefan Huber

Multivariate time series modeling and prediction problems are abundant in many machine learning application domains. Accurate interpretation of such prediction outcomes from a machine learning model that explicitly captures temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Tryambak Gangopadhyay , Sin Yong Tan , Zhanhong Jiang , Rui Meng , Soumik Sarkar

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

In this paper, we aim to improve multivariate anomaly detection (AD) by modeling the \textit{time-varying non-linear spatio-temporal correlations} found in multivariate time series data . In multivariate time series data, an anomaly may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Padmaksha Roy , Almuatazbellah Boker , Lamine Mili

The era of information explosion had prompted the accumulation of a tremendous amount of time-series data, including stationary and non-stationary time-series data. State-of-the-art algorithms have achieved a decent performance in dealing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Xipei Wang , Haoyu Zhang , Yuanbo Zhang , Meng Wang , Jiarui Song , Tin Lai , Matloob Khushi

We introduce an index based on information theory to quantify the stationarity of a stochastic process.The index compares on the one hand the information contained in the increment at the time scale $\tau$ of the process at time $t$ with,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-02 Carlos Granero-Belinchon , Stéphane G. Roux , Nicolas B. Garnier

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We consider estimation of covariance matrices and their inverses (a.k.a. precision matrices) for high-dimensional stationary and locally stationary time series. In the latter case the covariance matrices evolve smoothly in time, thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Xiaohui Chen , Mengyu Xu , Wei Biao Wu

Time-vertex graph signal (TVGS) models describe time-varying data with irregular structures. The bandlimitedness in the joint time-vertex Fourier spectral domain reflects smoothness in both temporal and graph topology. In this paper, we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-01 Hang Sheng , Hui Feng , Junhao Yu , Feng Ji , Bo Hu

We propose a simple stochastic process for modeling improper or noncircular complex-valued signals. The process is a natural extension of a complex-valued autoregressive process, extended to include a widely linear autoregressive term. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Jonathan M. Lilly

This paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph neural network-based performance prediction algorithm to address the challenge of forecasting performance fluctuations in distributed backend systems with multi-level service call structures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhihao Xue , Yun Zi , Nia Qi , Ming Gong , Yujun Zou

Learning-based control of linear systems received a lot of attentions recently. In popular settings, the true dynamical models are unknown to the decision-maker and need to be interactively learned by applying control inputs to the systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-06 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Aditya Modi

Conventional time series classification approaches based on bags of patterns or shapelets face significant challenges in dealing with a vast amount of feature candidates from high-dimensional multivariate data. In contrast, deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Raneen Younis , Abdul Hakmeh , Zahra Ahmadi
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