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The forecasting of Multivariate Time Series (MTS) has long been an important but challenging task. Due to the non-stationary problem across long-distance time steps, previous studies primarily adopt stationarization method to attenuate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Muyao Wang , Wenchao Chen , Bo Chen

Modern high-dimensional point process data, especially those from neuroscience experiments, often involve observations from multiple conditions and/or experiments. Networks of interactions corresponding to these conditions are expected to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-27 Xu Wang , Ali Shojaie

The focus is on the statistical analysis of matrix-valued time series, where data is collected over a network of sensors, typically at spatial locations, over time. Each sensor records a vector of features at each time point, creating a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot , Sofian Maabout

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

We propose a novel framework for learning time-varying graphs from spatiotemporal measurements. Given an appropriate prior on the temporal behavior of signals, our proposed method can estimate time-varying graphs from a small number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Haruki Yokota , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Antonio Ortega

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

Traditionally stationarity refers to shift invariance of the distribution of a stochastic process. In this paper, we rediscover stationarity as a path property instead of a distributional property. More precisely, we characterize a set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Yi Shen , Tony S. Wirjanto

Topology learning of networked dynamical systems is an important problem with implications to optimal control, decision-making over networks, cybersecurity and safety. The majority of prior work in consistent topology estimation relies on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Harish Doddi , Deepjyoti Deka , Murti Salapaka

We extend the decomposition approach for learning Bayesian networks (BNs) proposed by (Xie et. al.) to learning multivariate regression chain graphs (MVR CGs), which include BNs as a special case. The same advantages of this decomposition…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Marco Valtorta

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Vector autoregressions (VARs) are a widely used tool for modelling multivariate time-series. It is common to assume a VAR is stationary; this can be enforced by imposing the stationarity condition which restricts the parameter space of the…

Time-evolving or temporal graphs gain more and more popularity when studying the behavior of complex networks. In this context, the multistage view on computational problems is among the most natural frameworks. Roughly speaking, herein one…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Klaus Heeger , Anne-Sophie Himmel , Frank Kammer , Rolf Niedermeier , Malte Renken , Andrej Sajenko

Estimating the covariance structure of multivariate time series is a fundamental problem with a wide-range of real-world applications -- from financial modeling to fMRI analysis. Despite significant recent advances, current state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Hrayr Harutyunyan , Daniel Moyer , Hrant Khachatrian , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

The recovery of time-varying graph signals is a fundamental problem with numerous applications in sensor networks and forecasting in time series. Effectively capturing the spatio-temporal information in these signals is essential for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Jhon A. Castro-Correa , Jhony H. Giraldo , Anindya Mondal , Mohsen Badiey , Thierry Bouwmans , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros

Signal processing and machine learning algorithms for data supported over graphs, require the knowledge of the graph topology. Unless this information is given by the physics of the problem (e.g., water supply networks, power grids), the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-11 Alberto Natali , Mario Coutino , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus

Sparse models for high-dimensional linear regression and machine learning have received substantial attention over the past two decades. Model selection, or determining which features or covariates are the best explanatory variables, is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Yuan Li , Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett , Hyebin Song , David Neiman

Contrastive learning, as a self-supervised learning paradigm, becomes popular for Multivariate Time-Series (MTS) classification. It ensures the consistency across different views of unlabeled samples and then learns effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Yucheng Wang , Yuecong Xu , Jianfei Yang , Min Wu , Xiaoli Li , Lihua Xie , Zhenghua Chen

We consider the problem of model selection in Gaussian Markov fields in the sample deficient scenario. In many practically important cases, the underlying networks are embedded into Euclidean spaces. Using the natural geometric structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Ilya Soloveychik , Vahid Tarokh

The non-stationary nature of real-world Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data presents forecasting models with a formidable challenge of the time-variant distribution of time series, referred to as distribution shift. Existing studies on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Hui He , Qi Zhang , Kun Yi , Xiaojun Xue , Shoujin Wang , Liang Hu , Longbing Cao
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