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Related papers: Identifying Unknown Unknowns in the Open World: Re…

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Object detection methods trained on a fixed set of known classes struggle to detect objects of unknown classes in the open-world setting. Current fixes involve adding approximate supervision with pseudo-labels corresponding to candidate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Mısra Yavuz , Fatma Güney

This paper presents a conformal prediction method for classification in highly imbalanced and open-set settings, where there are many possible classes and not all may be represented in the data. Existing approaches require a finite, known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-16 Tianmin Xie , Yanfei Zhou , Ziyi Liang , Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia

Dataset biases are notoriously detrimental to model robustness and generalization. The identify-emphasize paradigm appears to be effective in dealing with unknown biases. However, we discover that it is still plagued by two challenges: A,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Bowen Zhao , Chen Chen , Qian-Wei Wang , Anfeng He , Shu-Tao Xia

Calibration is commonly evaluated by comparing model confidence with its empirical correctness, implicitly treating reliability as a function of the confidence score alone. However, this view can hide substantial structure: models may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Katarzyna Kobalczyk , Mihaela van der Schaar

Segmentation uncertainty models predict a distribution over plausible segmentations for a given input, which they learn from the annotator variation in the training set. However, in practice these annotations can differ systematically in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Kilian Zepf , Eike Petersen , Jes Frellsen , Aasa Feragen

Model deficiency that results from incomplete training data is a form of structural blindness that leads to costly errors, oftentimes with high confidence. During the training of classification tasks, underrepresented class-conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Bruno Abrahao , Zheng Wang , Haider Ahmed , Yuchen Zhu

Within the last few years, there has been a move towards using statistical models in conjunction with neural networks with the end goal of being able to better answer the question, "what do our models know?". From this trend, classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Achintya Gopal

Reward models (RMs) are essential for aligning large language models (LLM) with human expectations. However, existing RMs struggle to capture the stochastic and uncertain nature of human preferences and fail to assess the reliability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Xingzhou Lou , Dong Yan , Wei Shen , Yuzi Yan , Jian Xie , Junge Zhang

This article aims at discovering the unknown variables in the system through data analysis. The main idea is to use the time of data collection as a surrogate variable and try to identify the unknown variables by modeling gradual and sudden…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 V. Roshan Joseph , William E. Lewis , Henry S. Yuchi , Kathryn A. Maupin

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

We evaluate two different methods for the integration of prediction uncertainty into diagnostic image classifiers to increase patient safety in deep learning. In the first method, Monte Carlo sampling is applied with dropout at test time to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-05 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Tobias Ortmaier

In this paper, we leverage predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks to answer challenging questions material scientists usually encounter in machine learning based materials applications workflows. First, we show that by leveraging…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-04-26 Jize Zhang , Bhavya Kailkhura , T. Yong-Jin Han

Whilst an abundance of techniques have recently been proposed to generate counterfactual explanations for the predictions of opaque black-box systems, markedly less attention has been paid to exploring the uncertainty of these generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Eoin Delaney , Derek Greene , Mark T. Keane

Localization of unknown faults in industrial systems is a difficult task for data-driven diagnosis methods. The classification performance of many machine learning methods relies on the quality of training data. Unknown faults, for example…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-15 Daniel Jung

Reliably predicting potential failure risks of machine learning (ML) systems when deployed with production data is a crucial aspect of trustworthy AI. This paper introduces Risk Advisor, a novel post-hoc meta-learner for estimating failure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Preethi Lahoti , Krishna P. Gummadi , Gerhard Weikum

This paper introduces a model-agnostic approach designed to enhance uncertainty estimation in the predictive modeling of soil properties, a crucial factor for advancing pedometrics and the practice of digital soil mapping. For addressing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Viacheslav Barkov , Jonas Schmidinger , Robin Gebbers , Martin Atzmueller

Learning against label noise is a vital topic to guarantee a reliable performance for deep neural networks. Recent research usually refers to dynamic noise modeling with model output probabilities and loss values, and then separates clean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Yingsong Huang , Bing Bai , Shengwei Zhao , Kun Bai , Fei Wang

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Introductory programming courses often rely on small code-writing exercises that have clearly specified problem statements. This limits opportunities for students to practice how to clarify ambiguous requirements -- a critical skill in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Paul Denny , Viraj Kumar , Stephen MacNeil , James Prather , Juho Leinonen

Open World Object Detection (OWOD), simulating the real dynamic world where knowledge grows continuously, attempts to detect both known and unknown classes and incrementally learn the identified unknown ones. We find that although the only…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Xiaowei Zhao , Xianglong Liu , Yifan Shen , Yixuan Qiao , Yuqing Ma , Duorui Wang