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Model interpretability is an increasingly important component of practical machine learning. Some of the most common forms of interpretability systems are example-based, local, and global explanations. One of the main challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Gregory Plumb , Denali Molitor , Ameet Talwalkar

Causal discovery has been widely studied, yet many existing methods rely on strong assumptions or fall into two extremes: either depending on costly interventional signals or partial ground truth as strong priors, or adopting purely data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Xu , Yue He , Yunhai Wang , Xingxuan Zhang , Kun Kuang , Yueguo Chen , Peng Cui

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

Causal models of agents have been used to analyse the safety aspects of machine learning systems. But identifying agents is non-trivial -- often the causal model is just assumed by the modeler without much justification -- and modelling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Zachary Kenton , Ramana Kumar , Sebastian Farquhar , Jonathan Richens , Matt MacDermott , Tom Everitt

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

We present an analysis of predictive uncertainty based out-of-distribution detection for different approaches to estimate various models' epistemic uncertainty and contrast it with extreme value theory based open set recognition. While the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Martin Mundt , Iuliia Pliushch , Sagnik Majumder , Visvanathan Ramesh

The rapid evolution of automated vehicles (AVs) has the potential to provide safer, more efficient, and comfortable travel options. However, these systems face challenges regarding reliability in complex driving scenarios. Recent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Shihong Ling , Yue Wan , Xiaowei Jia , Na Du

Machine-learning driven models have proven to be powerful tools for the identification of phases of matter. In particular, unsupervised methods hold the promise to help discover new phases of matter without the need for any prior…

Nearly all spatial reasoning problems involve uncertainty of one sort or another. Uncertainty arises due to the inaccuracies of sensors used in measuring distances and angles. We refer to this as directional uncertainty. Uncertainty also…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Kenneth Basye , Thomas L. Dean

In this paper we propose a new method to assist in labeling data arriving from fast running processes using anomaly detection. A result is the possibility to manually classify data arriving at a high rates to train machine learning models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Tilman Klaeger , Andre Schult , Lukas Oehm

Ensuring trustworthiness in open-world visual recognition requires models that are interpretable, fair, and robust to distribution shifts. Yet modern vision systems are increasingly deployed as proprietary black-box APIs, exposing only…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Simone Carnemolla , Chiara Russo , Simone Palazzo , Quentin Bouniot , Daniela Giordano , Zeynep Akata , Matteo Pennisi , Concetto Spampinato

Identifying uncertainty and taking mitigating actions is crucial for safe and trustworthy reinforcement learning agents, especially when deployed in high-risk environments. In this paper, risk sensitivity is promoted in a model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Stefan Radic Webster , Peter Flach

Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

The operating environment of a highly automated vehicle is subject to change, e.g., weather, illumination, or the scenario containing different objects and other participants in which the highly automated vehicle has to navigate its…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Florian Heidecker , Ahmad El-Khateeb , Maarten Bieshaar , Bernhard Sick

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

A multitude of classifiers can be trained on the same data to achieve similar performances during test time, while having learned significantly different classification patterns. This phenomenon, which we call prediction discrepancies, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Xavier Renard , Thibault Laugel , Marcin Detyniecki

In a real-world setting, visual recognition systems can be brought to make predictions for images belonging to previously unknown class labels. In order to make semantically meaningful predictions for such inputs, we propose a two-step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-29 Vincent P. A. Lonij , Ambrish Rawat , Maria-Irina Nicolae

In Explainable AI, rule extraction translates model knowledge into logical rules, such as IF-THEN statements, crucial for understanding patterns learned by black-box models. This could significantly aid in fields like disease diagnosis,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Yu Chen , Tianyu Cui , Alexander Capstick , Nan Fletcher-Loyd , Payam Barnaghi

Mathematical models are invaluable for understanding and predicting how biological systems behave, although their construction requires specifying mechanisms and relationships that are often not perfectly known. In the presence of multiple…

We introduce a new approach to solving path-finding problems under uncertainty by representing them as probabilistic models and applying domain-independent inference algorithms to the models. This approach separates problem representation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-09 David Tolpin , Brooks Paige , Jan Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood
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