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Related papers: Locally Adaptive Confidence Bands

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We develop a general assumption-lean framework for constructing uniformly valid confidence sets for functionals defined by moment equalities, referred to as $Z$-functionals. Our approach combines self-normalized statistics with a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Woonyoung Chang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Learning the right graph representation from noisy, multi-source data has garnered significant interest in recent years. A central tenet of this problem is relational learning. Here the objective is to incorporate the partial information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-14 Jeremy Kun , Rajmonda Caceres , Kevin Carter

The problem of constructing confidence sets in the high-dimensional linear model with $n$ response variables and $p$ parameters, possibly $p\ge n$, is considered. Full honest adaptive inference is possible if the rate of sparse estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Richard Nickl , Sara van de Geer

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

This paper develops new tools to quantify uncertainty in optimal decision making and to gain insight into which variables one should collect information about given the potential cost of measuring a large number of variables. We investigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Yunan Wu , Lan Wang , Haoda Fu

Comparing allele frequencies among populations that differ in environment has long been a tool for detecting loci involved in local adaptation. However, such analyses are complicated by an imperfect knowledge of population allele…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-17 Torsten Günther , Graham Coop

Despite the wide use of explainability techniques to attempt to understand the behavior of Artificial Intelligence (AI), the generated explanations may not always be reliable. An explanation can appear plausible to humans but fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Tomás Pereira , João Vitorino , Eva Maia , Isabel Praça

Epidemiological investigations of regionally aggregated spatial data often involve detecting spatial health disparities among neighboring regions on a map of disease mortality or incidence rates. Analyzing such data introduces spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

Data consisting of samples of probability density functions are increasingly prevalent, necessitating the development of methodologies for their analysis that respect the inherent nonlinearities associated with densities. In many…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Alexander Petersen , Xi Liu , Afshin A. Divani

We consider the estimation of a density at a fixed point under a local differential privacy constraint, where the observations are anonymised before being available for statistical inference. We propose both a privatised version of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Sandra Schluttenhofer , Jan Johannes

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and other likelihood-free inference methods have gained popularity in the last decade, as they allow rigorous statistical inference for complex models without analytically tractable likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-21 Jukka Sirén , Samuel Kaski

The paper studies the problem of constructing nonparametric simultaneous confidence bands with nonasymptotic and distribition-free guarantees. The target function is assumed to be band-limited and the approach is based on the theory of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

Determining whether an algorithmic decision-making system discriminates against a specific demographic typically involves comparing a single point estimate of a fairness metric against a predefined threshold. This practice is statistically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Antonio Ferrara , Francesco Cozzi , Alan Perotti , André Panisson , Francesco Bonchi

In the context of selective inference, confidence envelopes for the false discoveries allow the user to select any subset of null hypotheses while having a statistical guarantee on the number of false discoveries in the selected set. Many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Romain Périer , Gilles Blanchard , Sebastian Döhler , Guillermo Durand , Etienne Roquain

The issue of honesty in constructing confidence sets arises in nonparametric regression. While optimal rate in nonparametric estimation can be achieved and utilized to construct sharp confidence sets, severe degradation of confidence level…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 Kun Zhou , Ker-Chau Li , Qing Zhou

The paper considers so-called adaptive estimations of regression, distribution density and spectral density of a Gaussian stationary sequence, asymptotically optimal in order at a growing number of observation on any regular subspace…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-26 Yang Feng , Tengfei Li , Zhiliang Ying

The problem of constructing confidence sets that are adaptive in L^2-loss over a continuous scale of Sobolev classes of probability densities is considered. Adaptation holds, where possible, with respect to both the radius of the Sobolev…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Adam D. Bull , Richard Nickl

For any Bell locality scenario (or Kochen-Specker noncontextuality scenario), the joint Shannon entropies of local (or noncontextual) models define a convex cone for which the non-trivial facets are tight entropic Bell (or contextuality)…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-03-15 Rafael Chaves , Tobias Fritz

We consider the problem of constructing Bayesian based confidence sets for linear functionals in the inverse Gaussian white noise model. We work with a scale of Gaussian priors indexed by a regularity hyper-parameter and apply the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-21 Botond Szabó
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