English

On Bayesian based adaptive confidence sets for linear functionals

Statistics Theory 2015-04-21 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We consider the problem of constructing Bayesian based confidence sets for linear functionals in the inverse Gaussian white noise model. We work with a scale of Gaussian priors indexed by a regularity hyper-parameter and apply the data-driven (slightly modified) marginal likelihood empirical Bayes method for the choice of this hyper-parameter. We show by theory and simulations that the credible sets constructed by this method have sub-optimal behaviour in general. However, by assuming "self-similarity" the credible sets have rate-adaptive size and optimal coverage. As an application of these results we construct LL_{\infty}-credible bands for the true functional parameter with adaptive size and optimal coverage under self-similarity constraint.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1412.0459,
  title  = {On Bayesian based adaptive confidence sets for linear functionals},
  author = {Botond Szabó},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1412.0459},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

11 pages, 2 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-22T07:16:49.715Z