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We propose an uncertainty propagation study and a sensitivity analysis with the Ocular Mathematical Virtual Simulator, a computational and mathematical model that predicts the hemodynamics and biomechanics within the human eye. In this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Christophe Prud'Homme , Lorenzo Sala , Marcela Szopos

Numerical nonlinear algebra is applied to maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian models defined by linear constraints on the covariance matrix. We examine the generic case as well as special models (e.g. Toeplitz, sparse, trees) that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bernd Sturmfels , Sascha Timme , Piotr Zwiernik

The proliferation of open-source Large Language Models (LLMs) from various institutions has highlighted the urgent need for comprehensive evaluation methods. However, current evaluation platforms, such as the widely recognized HuggingFace…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Fanghua Ye , Mingming Yang , Jianhui Pang , Longyue Wang , Derek F. Wong , Emine Yilmaz , Shuming Shi , Zhaopeng Tu

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

In this paper, we study the problem of uncertainty estimation and calibration for LLMs. We begin by formulating the uncertainty estimation problem, a relevant yet underexplored area in existing literature. We then propose a supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Linyu Liu , Yu Pan , Xiaocheng Li , Guanting Chen

Thermodynamic models are often vital when characterising complex systems, particularly natural gas, electrolyte, polymer, pharmaceutical and biological systems. However, their implementations have historically been abstruse and cumbersome,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-26 Pierre J. Walker , Hon-Wa Yew , Andrés Riedemann

Effective Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) represents a key aspect for reliable deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) in automated decision-making and beyond. Yet, for LLM generation with multiple choice structure, the state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Ramzi Dakhmouche , Adrien Letellier , Hossein Gorji

The uncertainty quantifications of theoretical results are of great importance to make meaningful comparisons of those results with experimental data and to make predictions in experimentally unknown regions. By quantifying uncertainties,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-12-10 Sota Yoshida , Noritaka Shimizu , Tomoaki Togashi , Takaharu Otsuka

Uncertainty estimation, which provides a means of building explainable neural networks for medical imaging applications, have mostly been studied for single deep learning models that focus on a specific task. In this paper, we propose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Leonhard F. Feiner , Martin J. Menten , Kerstin Hammernik , Paul Hager , Wenqi Huang , Daniel Rueckert , Rickmer F. Braren , Georgios Kaissis

As instruction-tuned large language models (LLMs) evolve, aligning pretrained foundation models presents increasing challenges. Existing alignment strategies, which typically leverage diverse and high-quality data sources, often overlook…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Yikun Wang , Rui Zheng , Liang Ding , Qi Zhang , Dahua Lin , Dacheng Tao

MLJ (Machine Learing in Julia) is an open source software package providing a common interface for interacting with machine learning models written in Julia and other languages. It provides tools and meta-algorithms for selecting, tuning,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Anthony D. Blaom , Franz Kiraly , Thibaut Lienart , Yiannis Simillides , Diego Arenas , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Recently several European National Measurement Institutes have established traceable calibration methods for dynamic mechanical quantities, e.g., dynamic force, torque and pressure. However, the use in industry and elsewhere of dynamic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Trevor Esward , Sascha Eichstädt , Ian Smith , Thomas Bruns , Peter Davis , Peter Harris

Spectral clustering is a popular unsupervised learning technique which is able to partition unlabelled data into disjoint clusters of distinct shapes. However, the data under consideration are often experimental data, implying that the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-26 Jürgen Dölz , Jolanda Weygandt

PowerDynamics.jl is a Julia package for time-domain modeling of power grids that is specifically designed for the stability analysis of systems with high shares of renewable energies. It makes use of Julia's state-of-the-art differential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-15 Anton Plietzsch , Raphael Kogler , Sabine Auer , Julia Merino , Asier Gil-de-Muro , Jan Liße , Christina Vogel , Frank Hellmann

In this paper we present BilevelJuMP, a new Julia package to support bilevel optimization within the JuMP framework. The package is a Julia library that enables the user to describe both upper and lower-level optimization problems using the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Joaquim Dias Garcia , Guilherme Bodin , Alexandre Street

StateSpaceModels.jl is an open-source Julia package for modeling, forecasting and simulating time series in a state-space framework. The package represents a straightforward tool that can be useful for a wide range of applications that deal…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-11 Raphael Saavedra , Guilherme Bodin , Mario Souto

OutlierDetection.jl is an open-source ecosystem for outlier detection in Julia. It provides a range of high-performance outlier detection algorithms implemented directly in Julia. In contrast to previous packages, our ecosystem enables the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 David Muhr , Michael Affenzeller , Anthony D. Blaom

A modelling language is described which is suitable for the correlation of information when the underlying functional model of the system is incomplete or uncertain and the temporal dependencies are imprecise. An efficient and incremental…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 John Bigham

This paper presents a framework for the representation of uncertainty in the estimates for software design projects for use throughout the entire project lifecycle. The framework is flexible in order to accommodate uncertainty in the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Andy M. Connor

Analog Quantum Computers are promising tools for improving performance on applications such as modeling behavior of quantum materials, providing fast heuristic solutions to optimization problems, and simulating quantum systems. Due to the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-31 Zachary Morrell , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra , Carleton Coffrin